Can you give some insight on your dog picks this afternoon? I'm taking the opposite in both FG: PIT/WASH
Its a stat system. Crunched numbers for the past 5 years, all kind of info. Gives me % of probability to win. Baseball is a stat game, with human factor. that we can never guess, cap or rely on.
But stats are perfect. Numbers are perfect. Those are undeniable. And in the long run, they will be right more times than wrong, hence the system works. Believe me.
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Quote Originally Posted by officialdkd:
Can you give some insight on your dog picks this afternoon? I'm taking the opposite in both FG: PIT/WASH
Its a stat system. Crunched numbers for the past 5 years, all kind of info. Gives me % of probability to win. Baseball is a stat game, with human factor. that we can never guess, cap or rely on.
But stats are perfect. Numbers are perfect. Those are undeniable. And in the long run, they will be right more times than wrong, hence the system works. Believe me.
I agree, they dont scare to many people. And this numbers my model shows will be changing throughout the season. but right now, the have far more value than you think .
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Quote Originally Posted by saigonbynight:
Phi & braves are horrible
I agree, they dont scare to many people. And this numbers my model shows will be changing throughout the season. but right now, the have far more value than you think .
Its a stat system. Crunched numbers for the past 5 years, all kind of info. Gives me % of probability to win. Baseball is a stat game, with human factor. that we can never guess, cap or rely on.
But stats are perfect. Numbers are perfect. Those are undeniable. And in the long run, they will be right more times than wrong, hence the system works. Believe me.
What stats are telling you to favor a 24 year old pitcher who struggles with pitch count against good hitting teams like WASH (Velasquez) over a 2-time Cy Young winner sporting a 7-1 career record against PHI with a 2.14 ERA?
Not being sarcastic, I'd just like to know some of your stats to better educate myself on this play
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Quote Originally Posted by BiPolarBear:
Its a stat system. Crunched numbers for the past 5 years, all kind of info. Gives me % of probability to win. Baseball is a stat game, with human factor. that we can never guess, cap or rely on.
But stats are perfect. Numbers are perfect. Those are undeniable. And in the long run, they will be right more times than wrong, hence the system works. Believe me.
What stats are telling you to favor a 24 year old pitcher who struggles with pitch count against good hitting teams like WASH (Velasquez) over a 2-time Cy Young winner sporting a 7-1 career record against PHI with a 2.14 ERA?
Not being sarcastic, I'd just like to know some of your stats to better educate myself on this play
What stats are telling you to favor a 24 year old pitcher who struggles with pitch count against good hitting teams like WASH (Velasquez) over a 2-time Cy Young winner sporting a 7-1 career record against PHI with a 2.14 ERA?
Not being sarcastic, I'd just like to know some of your stats to better educate myself on this play
A lot of my picks will go to underdogs and RL for the ODDS factor. odds play a BIG part of my system. If the system sees 2 teams plying alike, the odds will affect in the decision of the pick. As you say, Wash is better in all parts of the field. Yet, they lost with Gio Gonzalez yesterday vs the Marlins. And it was NOT gio who lost that game, but their BP.
So, its every small detail that counts.
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Quote Originally Posted by officialdkd:
What stats are telling you to favor a 24 year old pitcher who struggles with pitch count against good hitting teams like WASH (Velasquez) over a 2-time Cy Young winner sporting a 7-1 career record against PHI with a 2.14 ERA?
Not being sarcastic, I'd just like to know some of your stats to better educate myself on this play
A lot of my picks will go to underdogs and RL for the ODDS factor. odds play a BIG part of my system. If the system sees 2 teams plying alike, the odds will affect in the decision of the pick. As you say, Wash is better in all parts of the field. Yet, they lost with Gio Gonzalez yesterday vs the Marlins. And it was NOT gio who lost that game, but their BP.
A lot of my picks will go to underdogs and RL for the ODDS factor. odds play a BIG part of my system. If the system sees 2 teams plying alike, the odds will affect in the decision of the pick. As you say, Wash is better in all parts of the field. Yet, they lost with Gio Gonzalez yesterday vs the Marlins. And it was NOT gio who lost that game, but their BP.
So, its every small detail that counts.
One could argue that Phillies BP is even worse (which it is).
My theory is that WASH won't even need to ask much of their bullpen this afternoon. Since 2015, Max has pitched 9 games against Philly, tossing a whopping 65.2 innings in those 9 games. Meaning, he averages around 7 and 2/3 innings pitched per outing.
He also averaged 6 and 2/3 innings pitched per game last year overall.
I'd expect him to get in at least 7 innings today so I'm gonna stick with my pick and hope he has enough support by then for the BP not to implode on him!
BOL
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Quote Originally Posted by BiPolarBear:
A lot of my picks will go to underdogs and RL for the ODDS factor. odds play a BIG part of my system. If the system sees 2 teams plying alike, the odds will affect in the decision of the pick. As you say, Wash is better in all parts of the field. Yet, they lost with Gio Gonzalez yesterday vs the Marlins. And it was NOT gio who lost that game, but their BP.
So, its every small detail that counts.
One could argue that Phillies BP is even worse (which it is).
My theory is that WASH won't even need to ask much of their bullpen this afternoon. Since 2015, Max has pitched 9 games against Philly, tossing a whopping 65.2 innings in those 9 games. Meaning, he averages around 7 and 2/3 innings pitched per outing.
He also averaged 6 and 2/3 innings pitched per game last year overall.
I'd expect him to get in at least 7 innings today so I'm gonna stick with my pick and hope he has enough support by then for the BP not to implode on him!
One could argue that Phillies BP is even worse (which it is).
My theory is that WASH won't even need to ask much of their bullpen this afternoon. Since 2015, Max has pitched 9 games against Philly, tossing a whopping 65.2 innings in those 9 games. Meaning, he averages around 7 and 2/3 innings pitched per outing.
He also averaged 6 and 2/3 innings pitched per game last year overall.
I'd expect him to get in at least 7 innings today so I'm gonna stick with my pick and hope he has enough support by then for the BP not to implode on him!
BOL
I wish you luck mate.
One of us will win..
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Quote Originally Posted by officialdkd:
One could argue that Phillies BP is even worse (which it is).
My theory is that WASH won't even need to ask much of their bullpen this afternoon. Since 2015, Max has pitched 9 games against Philly, tossing a whopping 65.2 innings in those 9 games. Meaning, he averages around 7 and 2/3 innings pitched per outing.
He also averaged 6 and 2/3 innings pitched per game last year overall.
I'd expect him to get in at least 7 innings today so I'm gonna stick with my pick and hope he has enough support by then for the BP not to implode on him!
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