A new favorite

538 correuntly lists the Yankees as WS favorites at 32 % probability over 25 % for Hou. Fangraphs as well has Yanks at 38 %. Given that they are still behind Hou ( +170) in future at + 250, does this moment represent the best time to take the Yankees?

Anyone??

This variance in future odds is strictly correlated to the fact that the Yankees have already advanced. If Houston advances the Yankee future will go up. 

That's not my question. My question is the value high enough to slam Yankees as the preeminent favourites, especially if Tampa wins Yanks line would most likely drop to even money if not - 125.

Forget the Yankees. In playoffs, you are only as good as your next games starting pitcher. I will take Cole at home, in baseball you are only as good in your next game as your next  games  starting pitcher.

Astros look like crap right now, but in baseball this happens all the time. If Astros finally start playing small ball and hitting in bunches, all this anal-ytics talk crap  , just like the Dodgers winning it all, will just be that,  only talk.

Assuming a Houston win in game 5, will you take the best 3 Yankee pitchers over Houston's best 3 ?

But baseball is never static. Sure, right now , a snapshot  of what you are saying is correct . But that is based only on what has happened so far, not what might happen later. How many bet on in game 5 with the Nationals down 3-0 in inning 7 ?
Very few , I would suppose. Anything can happen in sports, it's all about destiny.

Anyone can win this thing. 

I don't think so. AL has such a huge advantage in rotation, lineups and experience. 

Yes, I believe this is the best time to take NY. Assuming Hou wins tonight, then wins game1 +250 will be your next opp for better odds. 

Here's how I envision the ALCS if Hou wins:

Hou - 130

NY +110

Pretty short line I'm assuming bc Hou cannot set up the rotation they want. Probably Grienke, Miley/Urquidy, Verlander, Cole. On the one hand even a split of the first 2, Hou will still have a huge pitching advantage for 3 - 4. However Yankees are no joke at home, winning all 3 days 2 years ago.

NY is loaded with talent. Like you said, I'd take NY bullpen/lineup over Hou too. Injuries killed them early, but even Stanton is healthy. 2B Torres had 38HRs this yr.  3B Urshela hit .314, plus Game1 starts Sat so Hou will be on short rest. 

Good points. Current Hou WS line is + 175. What number would you give them if they win tonight?

There are a couple offshore books offering Hou +185 and +200 to win WS. It's obviously going down if Hou wins, so perhaps Hou +150?

Also, say TB shocks the world and wins. Then, NY would be the fav and any chance at plus money would be gone. 

What's the line now that Hou will almost certainly host the Yankees?

Stand up for your position with HUGE BETS.  course I may be betting the other side since I like the other side