A's vs Brewers. Sears vs Peralta.

The A's now have won 4 in a row.

One of the more unlikely events that has happened this season.  The "why" is pretty clear to see.

Hitting has improved.  More reps and work is starting to pay off for this very young team.

Pitching has improved.  Today is a prime example of that with JP Sears.  His metrics are as good or better than Peralta.

I posted yesterday that the A's have the 4th best batting average with RISP in the league in the month of June.  Up there with Texas and the Devil Rays.

The A's are, again, +170 today and that is huge value.

Take the RL if you want insurance at +1.5 -120. 

One run games happen at around a 33% clip in most seasons. 

Milwaukee has a .523 winning percentage.  The A's are playing at an above .500 level.   You are getting huge value here. 

A coin flip or better advantage for the A's at +170.

These numbers say 5 in a row is a strong possibility.

@AdVictoriam

 always appreciate the write ups man, thank you.

Good Shit

Brad Pitt set them straight. 

good luck valedictorian but I think your wrong on this one b/c Peralta has been lights out at home and Millwaukee trying to prevent sweep. 

@buffer

 I agree that teams tailor their lineups and how they strategize for games to optimize their possibility of winning to avoid a sweep.

However.

Teams also consistently underestimate the A's and, like the general public, have a delayed response to an actual change in performance status.

The books lag too but not nearly as much since their algorithms can detect subtle changes much better than the human brain.

Peralta at home this year is 3.41/1.19 ERA/WHIP and away 6.04/1.66 so there is no doubt he pitches better at home.

I don't believe that will be enough to make the difference.

Sears has a 1.72/0.96 ERA/WHIP over his last 3 and 2 of those were on the road.

Best of luck!

 Good luck with your bet. I like the under

@greenhead

 I would be very cautious with any under wager in this game.

Sears is 9Ks/2HRs in his last 3 games.

Peralta is 16Ks/5HRs in his last 3 games.

A couple of home runs in the right spots and this game flies over.

Brewers will win today!  That’s a fact save your money!!!

A's to the Bank, Sears is not going to want to be the one that loses the streak as im sure the A's locker room is having fun for the first time this season....things are a lot lighter in the locker room, this team never quit and beat atlanta twice recently as well....Milwaukee much over rated??

…and u know this how?

@crazy1464

 Look at this with a level head, my friend.

The Brewers are barely a .500 team.

The A's have been playing better than .500 ball in June.

The pitching advantage was with the A's no doubt.

And you must respect the streak.  Even with the A's.

A's up 4-2 now in the 4th.

Does not mean they will win the game, but the value at +170 was just too good to pass up.

^^^ you know how to bet. 

Fujiami (or whatever his name is) has proven to be a stabilizing b.p. influence after getting bombed as a starter, a huge boost as A's let many games slip away late.

@warrenator

 He was okay yesterday but he almost blew the game again for them today with his walks. Crazy how this guy was ohtanis rival in Japan and was considered a bigger star than him back in the day. Idk why he can’t hit the strike zone in the United States lol

AV you are back in action...thanks for the post, confirmed my bet, didnt like the A's in the first game on road, had to wait to see how they responded in first game after coming off a win....

Awesome pick and analysis.

You post I'm following.

GL amigo 

@AdVictoriam

 That was an astute comment and bam 3 run hr by oak changed the game

Great call again.

Any thoughts on Athletics tonight? Looks like bettors aren’t believing in this streak. Although being a huge home dog is different than on the road.

Thanks