Posted:
#1
Oakland's Brett Anderson's expected ERA (XERA) is 3.87 over the past month while his ERA is over 5. As baseball statisticians will tell you, such a gap almost invariably indicates just plain bad luck, rather than a lack of skills. Checking the key parameters, sure enough: Anderson has an inflated 33% hit rate against and an underwhelming strand rate of just 68% during the period.
Seattle's Rowland-Smith, on the other hand, has had luck on his side. Yep, he's fortunate to have "just" an ERA of 4.50 over the past month. (Since Rowland-Smith's total IP to date are but 40.3, and his IP over the past month total 38, the second fi8gure will do, particularly since a pitcher's performance over the latest several starts are more significant than what he did in, say, the first month of the season).
In fact, the pitching match-up isn't even close here: Anderson dominates. Of course, the flip side is the offense, and the A's bats are no match for those of the Mariners.
Here I'm going with pitching over hitting in a roundabout way.
Oakland +110 (which was the line at the time I marked it here this morning--see my pending picks) Again, just MHO.
As always, I don't post records, which are meaningless in baseball betting (in sharp contest to football or hoops).
And as always, the best of luck to you!
Seattle's Rowland-Smith, on the other hand, has had luck on his side. Yep, he's fortunate to have "just" an ERA of 4.50 over the past month. (Since Rowland-Smith's total IP to date are but 40.3, and his IP over the past month total 38, the second fi8gure will do, particularly since a pitcher's performance over the latest several starts are more significant than what he did in, say, the first month of the season).
In fact, the pitching match-up isn't even close here: Anderson dominates. Of course, the flip side is the offense, and the A's bats are no match for those of the Mariners.
Here I'm going with pitching over hitting in a roundabout way.
Oakland +110 (which was the line at the time I marked it here this morning--see my pending picks) Again, just MHO.
As always, I don't post records, which are meaningless in baseball betting (in sharp contest to football or hoops).
And as always, the best of luck to you!
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