Trying to get back on the winning side after having my wallet broken by the Mariners and Red Sox.
Orioles at ML @ +112
The Orioles have around a .772 OPS against left-handers this season, and Rogers has already pitched.
Yankees at -1.5 @ +125
3.73 ERA for Gil in the last 30 days, and the Yankees hit lefties better than the Guardians hit righties.
Royals at -1.5 @ +102
Both hit lefties at around the same mark, give or take. But the Royals have a better offense and better pitching.
Twins at ML @ -116
Ober is pitching great, and the Twins can get hits against left-handed pitching.
Brewers at ML @ +110
I don't see why not. Montas hasn't been great, but neither has Fedde.
Astros at ML @ -129
They hurt Boston's bullpen last game out, and they are coming out with their stud today.
Parlay #1 @ +242
PHI\ATL - NRFI KC\LAA - NRFI
Parlay #2 @ +288
Astros TT 4.5 Orioles TT 4.5
Parlay #3 @ +274
Diamondbacks Win Rockies Win
Colorado slugs against lefties better than the Nats. This is a degenerate bet. I just figured it's a + bet, and in an alternate reality where these two bad teams play each other 10 times under these conditions, then maybe the Rockies win 30%–40% of the time. The Marlins are horrible and will likely get smashed.
Wild, I know... Let's see.
Of course, I'm only betting what I can afford to lose. But I'm professional about it.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Trying to get back on the winning side after having my wallet broken by the Mariners and Red Sox.
Orioles at ML @ +112
The Orioles have around a .772 OPS against left-handers this season, and Rogers has already pitched.
Yankees at -1.5 @ +125
3.73 ERA for Gil in the last 30 days, and the Yankees hit lefties better than the Guardians hit righties.
Royals at -1.5 @ +102
Both hit lefties at around the same mark, give or take. But the Royals have a better offense and better pitching.
Twins at ML @ -116
Ober is pitching great, and the Twins can get hits against left-handed pitching.
Brewers at ML @ +110
I don't see why not. Montas hasn't been great, but neither has Fedde.
Astros at ML @ -129
They hurt Boston's bullpen last game out, and they are coming out with their stud today.
Parlay #1 @ +242
PHI\ATL - NRFI KC\LAA - NRFI
Parlay #2 @ +288
Astros TT 4.5 Orioles TT 4.5
Parlay #3 @ +274
Diamondbacks Win Rockies Win
Colorado slugs against lefties better than the Nats. This is a degenerate bet. I just figured it's a + bet, and in an alternate reality where these two bad teams play each other 10 times under these conditions, then maybe the Rockies win 30%–40% of the time. The Marlins are horrible and will likely get smashed.
Wild, I know... Let's see.
Of course, I'm only betting what I can afford to lose. But I'm professional about it.
Tried to diversify risk a little and not get too greedy on the parlays by keeping them small and tight. I just failed on the -1.5 handicap bets and Houston. Those bets looked good on paper. Also, as soon as I saw that the Braves had an impactful injury for one of their hitters, I marked them down for NRFI against Wheeler, just hoping that the Braves pitcher can find some success early as well, but I figured the odds got better.
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@diondimucci
Tried to diversify risk a little and not get too greedy on the parlays by keeping them small and tight. I just failed on the -1.5 handicap bets and Houston. Those bets looked good on paper. Also, as soon as I saw that the Braves had an impactful injury for one of their hitters, I marked them down for NRFI against Wheeler, just hoping that the Braves pitcher can find some success early as well, but I figured the odds got better.
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