Posted:
#1
Haven't had an opportunity to update season totals (record), but here are yesterday's results with a link to yesterday's thread (w/ season totals as of 8/14).
Yesterday's Results, 8/15/2014
Record: 5-6-0 (45%)
Risked / To Win: 12.50 Units / 12.71 Units (avg. line of +102)
Profit: -2.72 Units / -$57.42
Return on Risk: -21.72%
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101931187
I decided to take a shot at several dogs that presented quite a bit of upside: Orioles FG (+143), Phillies F5 (+143), A's FG (+105), Astros F5 (+135), and Mariners FG (+121). Only one of them hit (Seattle), but we came very close with the Orioles and Astros. Only the A's game was a blowout. Of course, both the Phillies and Astros won FG haha. Oh well. Moving on!
Saturday's Card *** 8/16/2014 ***
Weekends = family time, so I am going to skip the write-ups. Looking at the card, I like run totals more than most of the sides plays. Always around to chat baseball when I get a minute though. Best of luck today everyone.
Sides
Baltimore Orioles FG (+123) --- 1.50% of Bankroll
Toronto Blue Jays FG (-120) --- 1.50% of Bankroll
Los Angeles Dodgers -1 RL (-122) --- 1.00% of Bankroll (POD)
Over Kershaw's last 13 starts, the Dodgers are 13-0 with the -1 RL going 8-0-5.
People have asked how to create a -1 if their book doesn't offer it.
ML: -180 ---> risk 1.80 units to win 1 units
-1.5 RL: +130 ---> risk 1 unit to win 1.30 units
Scenario 1: Dodgers Lose
ML Profit/Loss ---> -1.80 Units
RL Profit ---> -1.00 Units
Total Profit ---> -2.80 Units
Scenario 2: Dodgers Win by 2+ Runs
ML Profit/Loss ---> +1.00 Units
RL Profit ---> +1.30 Units
Total Profit ---> +2.30 Units
Scenario 3: Dodgers Win by 1 Run
ML Profit/Loss ---> +1.00 Units
RL Profit ---> -1.00 Units
Total Profit ---> 0.00 Units
Totals
New York/Tampa Bay Under 7 FG (-115) --- 1.00% of Bankroll
Oakland/Atlanta Under 7 FG (-125) --- 1.00% of Bankroll
We lost this one yesterday, behind the Braves hitting 4 HRs. I was convinced we would get a wash, but an atrocious error by the 1B led to a final 2-run HR (9 run total). Both of the pitchers today - Gray and Teheran - are better than yesterday's starters in my view, and we're getting the same run total. This will be the first time either team has seen the respective starters.
Baltimore/Cleveland Over 8 FG (-120) --- 1.00% of Bankroll
Chicago/New York Under 7.5 FG (-125) --- 1.00% of Bankroll
Kansas City/Minnesota Under 7.5 FG (-115) --- 1.00% of Bankroll
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