Overall Record YTD: 813-669-108 (55%) *** +4.23% Return on Risk *** ML: 258-210 (55%) F5: 181-157-61 (54%) RL: 33-50-2 (40%) O/U: 336-245-45 (58%) Parlays: 5-7-0 (42%) *** +29.42% Return on Risk *** Starting / Current Bankroll: $1,500 / $2,274 (+52%)
Picks of the Day Record YTD: 116-69-15 (63%) *** +16.44% Return on Risk *** ML: 51-16 (76%) F5: 26-19-6 (58%) RL: 5-7 (42%) O/U: 34-27-9 (56%)
Bet Sizing: 1 Unit is 1% of my bankroll (~$23 as of today). Admittedly, I place relatively small wagers in comparison to other bettors on individual plays. But, to put things into perspective, if you were a dime bettor (flat bets) and followed all of my plays you would be up $67,269 on the season based on my return on risk performance (+$32,871 in 200 wagers if you played my PODs only).
Number of plays: I have received some feedback regarding the amount of action (plays) I have each day. I often elect to spread my risk out by selecting wagers that express the same view. So, while the number of bets might seem high, 2-3 plays on the same game can often be consolidated into 1 play with more concentrated risk. For example, sometimes I split my risk between the first 5 innings and the full game while also placing a wager on the run total.
Diversification/Money Management: Remember, you can express a view in a number of ways and it's about finding the cheapest way with the best risk/reward profile. Don't fall into the trap of putting too much risk in one place. You (and I) will lose "sure thing" wagers, so limiting the damage from one pick is imperative. If there is one takeaway this is it. Diversification is key to money management.
Picks of the Day (POD) / Regular Play (RP): Going forward I will color code my plays to differentiate between my favorite plays (orange) and my regular value plays (blue). I won't necessarily size any differently. A few people approached me and asked me to do this, so I am going to try it out for the second half of the season. Maybe I will discover something that I can incorporate for the next season.
Daily Parlay Pick (DPP): For the last few weeks of the season I am going to incorporate 2 pick parlays, which will typically be a subset of my PODs and sized at 0.50% of bankroll.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Overall Record YTD: 813-669-108 (55%) *** +4.23% Return on Risk *** ML: 258-210 (55%) F5: 181-157-61 (54%) RL: 33-50-2 (40%) O/U: 336-245-45 (58%) Parlays: 5-7-0 (42%) *** +29.42% Return on Risk *** Starting / Current Bankroll: $1,500 / $2,274 (+52%)
Picks of the Day Record YTD: 116-69-15 (63%) *** +16.44% Return on Risk *** ML: 51-16 (76%) F5: 26-19-6 (58%) RL: 5-7 (42%) O/U: 34-27-9 (56%)
Bet Sizing: 1 Unit is 1% of my bankroll (~$23 as of today). Admittedly, I place relatively small wagers in comparison to other bettors on individual plays. But, to put things into perspective, if you were a dime bettor (flat bets) and followed all of my plays you would be up $67,269 on the season based on my return on risk performance (+$32,871 in 200 wagers if you played my PODs only).
Number of plays: I have received some feedback regarding the amount of action (plays) I have each day. I often elect to spread my risk out by selecting wagers that express the same view. So, while the number of bets might seem high, 2-3 plays on the same game can often be consolidated into 1 play with more concentrated risk. For example, sometimes I split my risk between the first 5 innings and the full game while also placing a wager on the run total.
Diversification/Money Management: Remember, you can express a view in a number of ways and it's about finding the cheapest way with the best risk/reward profile. Don't fall into the trap of putting too much risk in one place. You (and I) will lose "sure thing" wagers, so limiting the damage from one pick is imperative. If there is one takeaway this is it. Diversification is key to money management.
Picks of the Day (POD) / Regular Play (RP): Going forward I will color code my plays to differentiate between my favorite plays (orange) and my regular value plays (blue). I won't necessarily size any differently. A few people approached me and asked me to do this, so I am going to try it out for the second half of the season. Maybe I will discover something that I can incorporate for the next season.
Daily Parlay Pick (DPP): For the last few weeks of the season I am going to incorporate 2 pick parlays, which will typically be a subset of my PODs and sized at 0.50% of bankroll.
Going to the dodger game and want to place a bet to make it more entertaining. . Any leans on la/sf?
tough game, IMO. The Giants haven't been hitting much. While the Dodgers were putting up serious run totals in Chicago (wind), I don't trust Haren. Still don't know what to think about Peavy, who has looked very good as of late. If I had to pick a side I would go w/ the Dodgers, but I would like to see the lineups before finalizing that lean.
0
Quote Originally Posted by RISKforREWARD:
Going to the dodger game and want to place a bet to make it more entertaining. . Any leans on la/sf?
tough game, IMO. The Giants haven't been hitting much. While the Dodgers were putting up serious run totals in Chicago (wind), I don't trust Haren. Still don't know what to think about Peavy, who has looked very good as of late. If I had to pick a side I would go w/ the Dodgers, but I would like to see the lineups before finalizing that lean.
I like the over FG as well, but I like that I only need 1 run per inning to hit the F5 wager (i.e., equivalent of 4.5 runs scored per team over 9 innings). This line was only 15 points higher than FG over, which you would need 1.1 runs per inning (-110 line). Basically, I felt I got a run for 15 points, which is cheap in my view.
0
I like the over FG as well, but I like that I only need 1 run per inning to hit the F5 wager (i.e., equivalent of 4.5 runs scored per team over 9 innings). This line was only 15 points higher than FG over, which you would need 1.1 runs per inning (-110 line). Basically, I felt I got a run for 15 points, which is cheap in my view.
Going to the dodger game and want to place a bet to make it more entertaining. . Any leans on la/sf?
tough game, IMO. The Giants haven't been hitting much. While the Dodgers were putting up serious run totals in Chicago (wind), I don't trust Haren. Still don't know what to think about Peavy, who has looked very good as of late. If I had to pick a side I would go w/ the Dodgers, but I would like to see the lineups before finalizing that lean.
Thanks brother much appreciated!
0
Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:
Quote Originally Posted by RISKforREWARD:
Going to the dodger game and want to place a bet to make it more entertaining. . Any leans on la/sf?
tough game, IMO. The Giants haven't been hitting much. While the Dodgers were putting up serious run totals in Chicago (wind), I don't trust Haren. Still don't know what to think about Peavy, who has looked very good as of late. If I had to pick a side I would go w/ the Dodgers, but I would like to see the lineups before finalizing that lean.
Going to the dodger game and want to place a bet to make it more entertaining. . Any leans on la/sf?
I personally like the under 7 (7.5 if you can get it). These late season games between these two rivals usually are close, low scoring affairs, and both Peavy and Haren (when not pitching in Colorado) have been solid as of late. I want to double check lineups also and see if Pagan is playing.
0
Quote Originally Posted by RISKforREWARD:
Going to the dodger game and want to place a bet to make it more entertaining. . Any leans on la/sf?
I personally like the under 7 (7.5 if you can get it). These late season games between these two rivals usually are close, low scoring affairs, and both Peavy and Haren (when not pitching in Colorado) have been solid as of late. I want to double check lineups also and see if Pagan is playing.
Argh, it never is nice to have an under 7 game that goes into extra innings tied 2-2 and ends up 5-2. I guess it could be worse than that though.
I'm equally miffed about betting the Jets and losing when they outgained the opponent by 150 yards in the football game. Oh well, just one of those days I guess.
0
Argh, it never is nice to have an under 7 game that goes into extra innings tied 2-2 and ends up 5-2. I guess it could be worse than that though.
I'm equally miffed about betting the Jets and losing when they outgained the opponent by 150 yards in the football game. Oh well, just one of those days I guess.
Copyright � 1995 - 2024
CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.