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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    BREWERS +147; 4/28/2018

    cropduster
    bee28s
    PLAYAAAA1969
    gtnp
    subpar
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    cropduster
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2018 - 12:15 PM ET #1

    Well, the wind blowing in and a Sogard error has put the Brewers in the loss column 2 days in a row. Both losses were only by one run. Junior Guerra has pitched his last 3 starts solidly going 5 innings each time and giving up at most one run.  I expect Junior Guerra to continue to perform at the same level as the last 3 starts. On the other hand, Jose Quintana is pitching for the Cubs.  Quintana is really a step down in starting pitcher quality when you compare him to the last 2 that the Brewers faced; Darvish and Hendricks. So, Quintana gave up 4 runs to Colorado in his last outing in 5 innings but prior to that Quintana gave up 7 runs in 2.1 innings pitching in Wrigley Field. Yes, Quintana did pitch well against the Brewers if you want to go one outing prior but opened the season giving up 6 runs in 5 innings. So, I think the law of averages comes back to haunt Quintana today and the Brewers rough him up. Aguillar and Shaw are given the day off, but you still have 1. Cain 2. Yelich 3. Braun with an improving Santana in the cleanup spot today. Santana got his first extra base hit yesterday so hopefully that's a sign of good things to come. 

     

    BREWERS +147

     

     Risk $100 to win $147

     

    Season Total = -$336
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    Well, the wind blowing in and a Sogard error has put the Brewers in the loss column 2 days in a row. Both losses were only by one run. Junior Guerra has pitched his last 3 starts solidly going 5 innings each time and giving up at most one run.  I expect Junior Guerra to continue to perform at the same level as the last 3 starts. On the other hand, Jose Quintana is pitching for the Cubs.  Quintana is really a step down in starting pitcher quality when you compare him to the last 2 that the Brewers faced; Darvish and Hendricks. So, Quintana gave up 4 runs to Colorado in his last outing in 5 innings but prior to that Quintana gave up 7 runs in 2.1 innings pitching in Wrigley Field. Yes, Quintana did pitch well against the Brewers if you want to go one outing prior but opened the season giving up 6 runs in 5 innings. So, I think the law of averages comes back to haunt Quintana today and the Brewers rough him up. Aguillar and Shaw are given the day off, but you still have 1. Cain 2. Yelich 3. Braun with an improving Santana in the cleanup spot today. Santana got his first extra base hit yesterday so hopefully that's a sign of good things to come. 

     

    BREWERS +147

     

     Risk $100 to win $147

     

    Season Total = -$336
     
    bee28s
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2018 - 12:46 PM ET #2

    If it ain’t broke don’t fix it!
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    PLAYAAAA1969
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2018 - 12:50 PM ET #3

    Like the +1 1/2 More..
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    gtnp
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2018 - 12:52 PM ET #4

    doesnt it suprise you a bit that your getting such a meaty ml on brewers(+147) with this favorable pitching matchup? Public at this point is siding with you on the brewers which makes me very skeptical on brewers.
    Cubs lineup back to full health today so Ill back them with this steep ml in a parlay only, cause I dont have much faith in them yet this young season. Goodluck on your wager
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    doesnt it suprise you a bit that your getting such a meaty ml on brewers(+147) with this favorable pitching matchup? Public at this point is siding with you on the brewers which makes me very skeptical on brewers.
    Cubs lineup back to full health today so Ill back them with this steep ml in a parlay only, cause I dont have much faith in them yet this young season. Goodluck on your wager
     
    subpar
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2018 - 12:55 PM ET #5

    Good luck today sir....
    Can't agree that Q is a big step down from Yu and Hendricks though. 
    Couldn't grip the ball in the 30 degree cold rain vs. ATL, and had similar problems in Colorado.
    Maybe I'm maki g excuses for him, but aside from a rough couple of 5th innings, he hasn't pitched poorly.

    Its pretty cold out here now, but nowhere near those 2 games.

    Now might be the time to Fade Q, because once the weather warms, expect the same quality he's shown over the last few years

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    Good luck today sir....
    Can't agree that Q is a big step down from Yu and Hendricks though. 
    Couldn't grip the ball in the 30 degree cold rain vs. ATL, and had similar problems in Colorado.
    Maybe I'm maki g excuses for him, but aside from a rough couple of 5th innings, he hasn't pitched poorly.

    Its pretty cold out here now, but nowhere near those 2 games.

    Now might be the time to Fade Q, because once the weather warms, expect the same quality he's shown over the last few years

     
    philly42
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2018 - 1:00 PM ET #6

    i like the brewers a bit, but taking chance at the over instead

    good luck, good value there
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    i like the brewers a bit, but taking chance at the over instead

    good luck, good value there
     
     
    cropduster
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2018 - 1:23 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by gtnp:

    Posted: 28 minutes ago "Quote" doesnt it suprise you a bit that your getting such a meaty ml on brewers(+147) with this favorable pitching matchup? Public at this point is siding with you on the brewers which makes me very skeptical on brewers.Cubs lineup back to full health today so Ill back them with this steep ml in a parlay only, cause I dont have much faith in them yet this young season. Goodluck on your wager
      No, it doesn't surprise me actually. The Cubs are the division favorites and have beaten the Brewers 3 out of the 1st four games they played in Milwaukee and the Cubs won 2 straight in this series. So the Cubs have won 5 out of the last 6 with the Brewers. Also, Quintana beat the Brewers last time and this is played in Chicago. So, no, I think the line is right and the Brewers will win.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gtnp:

    Posted: 28 minutes ago "Quote" doesnt it suprise you a bit that your getting such a meaty ml on brewers(+147) with this favorable pitching matchup? Public at this point is siding with you on the brewers which makes me very skeptical on brewers.Cubs lineup back to full health today so Ill back them with this steep ml in a parlay only, cause I dont have much faith in them yet this young season. Goodluck on your wager
      No, it doesn't surprise me actually. The Cubs are the division favorites and have beaten the Brewers 3 out of the 1st four games they played in Milwaukee and the Cubs won 2 straight in this series. So the Cubs have won 5 out of the last 6 with the Brewers. Also, Quintana beat the Brewers last time and this is played in Chicago. So, no, I think the line is right and the Brewers will win.

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