What are some ways to make the best selection?
please help
Do your own research, that way if it doesn't work out, you have no one to blame but yourself, that's taking ownership, good luck with your next play,
Hope this helps you Drunken808.
Do your own research, that way if it doesn't work out, you have no one to blame but yourself, that's taking ownership, good luck with your next play,
Hope this helps you Drunken808.
@drunken808
my strategy with totals.....
instead of doing what i think most bettors do(look at the starting pitchers era and go off that alone) When looking at totals I look at the home plate umpires, statfox and swishanalytics are good resources. It shows the BB boost and K boost( % under or over the mean for strikeouts/walks). For example, Bill Miller is notorious for a high strikeout rate which tends to lead towards unders. Then i look at ground ball/fly rate and compare that with the weather. (wind blowing out, in,etc) Finally you should always factor in bullpen stats, usage, availability, etc. A team with a gassed BP is likley to have issues late in the game.
hope this helps my man. They key is finding angles that arent used by oddsmakers when they create a line. I dont believe umpire stats are built into the lines so its creates an edge that is not ALREADY factored in
@drunken808
my strategy with totals.....
instead of doing what i think most bettors do(look at the starting pitchers era and go off that alone) When looking at totals I look at the home plate umpires, statfox and swishanalytics are good resources. It shows the BB boost and K boost( % under or over the mean for strikeouts/walks). For example, Bill Miller is notorious for a high strikeout rate which tends to lead towards unders. Then i look at ground ball/fly rate and compare that with the weather. (wind blowing out, in,etc) Finally you should always factor in bullpen stats, usage, availability, etc. A team with a gassed BP is likley to have issues late in the game.
hope this helps my man. They key is finding angles that arent used by oddsmakers when they create a line. I dont believe umpire stats are built into the lines so its creates an edge that is not ALREADY factored in
Check out each teams relief pitching since starters rarely go past 7 innings...and, have the relievers been getting used alot lately, might be worn down----certain ballparks are more run happy, like Cincinnatti, Atlanta,Boston, while Kansas City Oakland and San Diego are better for pitchers.
Check out each teams relief pitching since starters rarely go past 7 innings...and, have the relievers been getting used alot lately, might be worn down----certain ballparks are more run happy, like Cincinnatti, Atlanta,Boston, while Kansas City Oakland and San Diego are better for pitchers.
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