Posted:
#1
YTD
140-128 +41.5 Units
Can't get a streak going. Went 3-4 minus 2 units yesterday and have nothing to do today but gamble on the market. Lets see what we can do. Heavy spreads..
OVER LA/COL 8 1/2 -105 
UMPIRE: Jerry Crawford 10-7 (O/U)
Weather: 5 mph out to left center
This line just went down from 9 due to the fact that LA is a heavy pitchers park with Derek Lowe starting there. He's a great pitcher at home and performs extremely well there. The Rockies have hit him well. He pitched well in June and a second go around may be worth the price on this one.
WHY THERE IS VALUE:
Hitters vs DelaRosa
Team is averaging .409 vs starter 
Last 7 ERA is 6
Last time out vs LA 4 IP 9 ER
Both Buckholz and Corpas have pitched in last 3 games. 
Fuentas has pitched in last 2. Availability for bullpen is shaky.
Fuentas has pitched in last 2. Availability for bullpen is shaky. Hitters vs Lowe
Team is hitting .303 vs him
HAWPE has 3 HR in 28 AB 
Holliday .567 vs him 
Lowe 5.86 ERA total vs Colorado (mostly in Col)
My expectations are that Colorado will get blown out this game. However, Lowe will give up a couple runs early possibly a 10-3 type of game. Colorado has proven to hit later in the season rather than earlier. Lowe got them early, lets see what he can do late.
The team must be pissed off due to a 4 error game. I think they respond with some vengeance.
Looking at Under SF/FLA as well.
GREED IS GOOD
0
Hot Forum Topics
