First game after All-Star game

A. Fading the 4th place teams in the first game after the All-Star game the last three years:

15-3 (83.3%)

ML records for the division standings in first game after All-Star game the last three years:

1st place: 12-6 (66.7%)

2023: 4-2

2022: 4-2

2021: 4-2

2nd place: 12-6 (66.7%)

2023: 4-2

2022: 4-2

2021: 4-2

3rd place: 11-7 (61.1%)

2023: 4-2

2022: 2-4

2021: 5-1

4th place: 3-15 (16.7%)

2023: 1-5

2022: 2-4

2021: 0-6

5th place: 7-11 (38.9%)

2023: 3-3

2022: 2-4

2021: 2-4

B. Taking over 8.5 runs in the 4th place games the past three years:

4th place games over 8.5 runs: 14-4 (77.8%)

2023: 5-1

2022: 5-1

2021: 4-2

C. Here are the 4th place games Friday:

1. Nationals at Reds (both 4th) O8

2. Rays at Yankees ML -192; O8

3. Tigers at Blue Jays ML -125; O7.5

4. Giants at Rockies ML +140; O10

5. Angels at A’s ML -110; O8.5

I will probably bet these because the data says I should and I am a degenerate.

Let’s see what happens.

Good luck!

@Sladerunningfox

 Also someone who has a lot of time on their hands. Thank you for the info. Good Luck 

Doesn't it matter who's at home? 

Home: 0-10

Away: 3-5

@Sladerunningfox

 Nationals is actually hosting reds

Thanks. I knew that, but wrote it wrong.

Bet all of your money on a team that's going to win.

@Sladerunningfox

 Thanks for sharing this great information with us, good luck for the 2nd half of the season, including Friday.

@OO7CRUSHER

 LOL

Helpful post indeed!

@Sladerunningfox

If you did bet these games, I would not blame you. I believe I would do the same. Slade…thanks my Covers brother for doing the research and sharing.

TIP

If I understand this correctly, the Nationals are the only home team here who are a 4th place team which would also correlate to the 0-10 home trend. So of all picks, Reds ml appears to be the best choice?

@Nuscas

 That is correct. Thank you Slade for always sharing your trends and insight

Appreciate you sharing this info…..Root root for the away team Let’s Go Red’s 

Good luck

Yes, and I like the Yankees.

I also like the over in the Reds game. I wrote O8, but when I bet it, it was O8.5 and now it’s O9. Did it open at O8 or was I wrong on that?

Nats looking dangerous here

A. Fading the 4th place team and taking the over on Friday:

7-3-1 (70.0%)

ML: 4-2 (66.7%) {Nats and Reds played each other}

Over: 3-1-1 (75.0%)

Here are the 4th place games Friday:

1. Nationals at Reds (both 4th) O8

Nationals ML = W; Reds ML = L

Over = W

2. Rays at Yankees ML -192; O8

Yankees ML = W; Over = L

3. Tigers at Blue Jays ML -125; O7.5

Blue Jays = L; Over = W

4. Giants at Rockies ML +140; O10

Rockies ML = W; Over = Push

5. Angels at A’s ML -110; O8.5

A’s ML = W; Over = W

B. Standings team ML results by place for Friday:

1. 1st place: 3-2

2. 2nd place: 3-0

3. 3rd place: 2-4

4: 4th place: 2-4

5. 5th place: 3-3

The standings results closely align to the results of the last three years for the first game after the All-Star break, especially the 4th place fades and overs.

Save this for next year!