HIP HIP HOORAY! We made it. Opening Day. Gosh dang I love betting baseball.
Okay, I am wasting no time - we are getting right into the filthy contrarian plays and fading the public. From day 1 to day...whenever the season ends.
Brewers -185 @ Cubs -- Look, I like this Brewers team. Like them a lot. I picked them as my WS champs 17/1 (along with the Rays 13/1) and am over their season win total. HOWEVER...I do not like them today. Why don't I like them today? Because everyone likes them today. Milwaukee is getting 75% of the bets and 86% of the money. Typically, I follow the money, but not when the betting % is also high and it's this lopsided. So in this spot, I want to be on the side of the house.
Give me Chicago +1.5 (-105)
NOT DONE YET! I have another thought...
Doesn't this total seem high? It opened 9.5 and has now dropped to 9, because the under is getting hammered. I'm seeing 73% of the bets and money on the under. I'm going to dabble with the over here, in another very contrarian spot.
To recap: Cubs +1.5 (105) and OVER 9 (-105) for me
Good luck to all. If you like anything, lmk!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
HIP HIP HOORAY! We made it. Opening Day. Gosh dang I love betting baseball.
Okay, I am wasting no time - we are getting right into the filthy contrarian plays and fading the public. From day 1 to day...whenever the season ends.
Brewers -185 @ Cubs -- Look, I like this Brewers team. Like them a lot. I picked them as my WS champs 17/1 (along with the Rays 13/1) and am over their season win total. HOWEVER...I do not like them today. Why don't I like them today? Because everyone likes them today. Milwaukee is getting 75% of the bets and 86% of the money. Typically, I follow the money, but not when the betting % is also high and it's this lopsided. So in this spot, I want to be on the side of the house.
Give me Chicago +1.5 (-105)
NOT DONE YET! I have another thought...
Doesn't this total seem high? It opened 9.5 and has now dropped to 9, because the under is getting hammered. I'm seeing 73% of the bets and money on the under. I'm going to dabble with the over here, in another very contrarian spot.
To recap: Cubs +1.5 (105) and OVER 9 (-105) for me
“As is often the case with early season baseball games, the forecast for Thursday doesn’t look particularly picnic-worthy,” Brett Borchardt, meteorologist for the National Weather Service’s Chicago office, wrote in an email to the Tribune. “We’re expecting temperatures near 47 degrees at first pitch with breezy west winds gusting 25 to 30 mph, making it feel more like 40 degrees. We’re also expecting scattered rain and snow showers throughout the day.”
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chicago tribune...
“As is often the case with early season baseball games, the forecast for Thursday doesn’t look particularly picnic-worthy,” Brett Borchardt, meteorologist for the National Weather Service’s Chicago office, wrote in an email to the Tribune. “We’re expecting temperatures near 47 degrees at first pitch with breezy west winds gusting 25 to 30 mph, making it feel more like 40 degrees. We’re also expecting scattered rain and snow showers throughout the day.”
Thank you for sharing. This makes me like the over a bit more, but perhaps explains the line. 9.5 (opener) felt high for two respected pitchers on day 1.
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@DB51daBEARS
Thank you for sharing. This makes me like the over a bit more, but perhaps explains the line. 9.5 (opener) felt high for two respected pitchers on day 1.
@DB51daBEARS Thank you for sharing. This makes me like the over a bit more, but perhaps explains the line. 9.5 (opener) felt high for two respected pitchers on day 1.
You're welcome, Vegas
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Quote Originally Posted by VegasFishman:
@DB51daBEARS Thank you for sharing. This makes me like the over a bit more, but perhaps explains the line. 9.5 (opener) felt high for two respected pitchers on day 1.
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