The Pad’s pitching is not close to
being as dominant as what the public believes it to be.
The
Pad’s averaged giving up, Majors leading, 3.34 runs per game, but as
stated above, they give up 4.63 runs per game against top 12 (runs scored)
teams.I know it is not fair to say
that this team ERA would put them close to league worst team ERA, but it
adds a bit of perspective of how dominant, or not, the Pads pitching staff
actually is.
Latos,
and Richard will provide quality starts, but on probably less rest than
they are accustomed to (and will not average going as deep as they
normally do regardless); I doubt their performance will be as
stellar.Bell is one of the best
closers in the Majors, but running him out there for 4 plus outs
consecutive (and they will, because their starters will go less deep b/c …well,
they give up more runs to better hitting teams) will not work very
well/long.
Point # 3:
The Pads have performed horribly
against playoff caliber teams
The
Pads have a winning 57.2% (79-59), and the average score is Pad’s 4.3 to
opponents 3.34 for the season, and against top 12 (runs scored) teams the
average score is 4.18 Pads to 4.25, not too bad right? But their record
against top 12 teams is 14-24 (win % of 36.8%).
In closing:
The Pads have such a low team ERA, and have been steadily
under, even with some of the lowest O/U lines this season (as low as 5.5 runs):they are 54% under for the season, they are
2-10 O/U last 12, and their remaining 7 series; only 2 are top 12 (runs scored)
teams.So I suspect the majority of the
remaining games will support a low O/U line in the post season.Hence, I would recommend that you bet 5 units to win apprx. 12 on
opponent/over parlar, should you lose that, increase your play (same play) to 8 units to win apprx. 20 (if you
win, you profited 15 units), should you lose that, increase to 12 units to win apprx. 30 units
(should you win, you would profit a total of 17 units, should you lose that
(yeah…right) increase your play to 20
units to win apprx. 50 to win apprx. 125 units to win apprx 100 units
in total.Once you win it, start it over
until our Golden Geese are gone.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Point #2:
The Pad’s pitching is not close to
being as dominant as what the public believes it to be.
The
Pad’s averaged giving up, Majors leading, 3.34 runs per game, but as
stated above, they give up 4.63 runs per game against top 12 (runs scored)
teams.I know it is not fair to say
that this team ERA would put them close to league worst team ERA, but it
adds a bit of perspective of how dominant, or not, the Pads pitching staff
actually is.
Latos,
and Richard will provide quality starts, but on probably less rest than
they are accustomed to (and will not average going as deep as they
normally do regardless); I doubt their performance will be as
stellar.Bell is one of the best
closers in the Majors, but running him out there for 4 plus outs
consecutive (and they will, because their starters will go less deep b/c …well,
they give up more runs to better hitting teams) will not work very
well/long.
Point # 3:
The Pads have performed horribly
against playoff caliber teams
The
Pads have a winning 57.2% (79-59), and the average score is Pad’s 4.3 to
opponents 3.34 for the season, and against top 12 (runs scored) teams the
average score is 4.18 Pads to 4.25, not too bad right? But their record
against top 12 teams is 14-24 (win % of 36.8%).
In closing:
The Pads have such a low team ERA, and have been steadily
under, even with some of the lowest O/U lines this season (as low as 5.5 runs):they are 54% under for the season, they are
2-10 O/U last 12, and their remaining 7 series; only 2 are top 12 (runs scored)
teams.So I suspect the majority of the
remaining games will support a low O/U line in the post season.Hence, I would recommend that you bet 5 units to win apprx. 12 on
opponent/over parlar, should you lose that, increase your play (same play) to 8 units to win apprx. 20 (if you
win, you profited 15 units), should you lose that, increase to 12 units to win apprx. 30 units
(should you win, you would profit a total of 17 units, should you lose that
(yeah…right) increase your play to 20
units to win apprx. 50 to win apprx. 125 units to win apprx 100 units
in total.Once you win it, start it over
until our Golden Geese are gone.
To add to your argument, LATOS' shouldnt be pitching down the stretch...........
Not sure why you would say that; I would be curious to hear your thoughts on this. Personally--my thoughts--If I was a big league manager, I would most certainly want Lato's as a starter. He is due for a few bad starts (as they all endure from time to time), but he is still top quality... but Richards and Latos can't start them all.
GL my friend
0
Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:
To add to your argument, LATOS' shouldnt be pitching down the stretch...........
Not sure why you would say that; I would be curious to hear your thoughts on this. Personally--my thoughts--If I was a big league manager, I would most certainly want Lato's as a starter. He is due for a few bad starts (as they all endure from time to time), but he is still top quality... but Richards and Latos can't start them all.
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