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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Interesting Observation

    plchris
    HoosierBettor
    NOmoose
    venezolanisimo
    Dr_Emmett_Brown
    ...
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    Search
    Views: 1092
    Posts: 25
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 1:28 PM ET #1

    Download Yahoo Sports and follow the line movement on there. Take screenshots in the morning and compare over 2 hour periods. Pay attention to the line movement 20 mins before each game and pay attention to the LATE movement 10 mins before.

    I've noticed over the past month that paying attention to the line movement on this app literally right before start of the game, will allow you to make the best decision for that game. Happened yesterday with BOS, line dropped an hour before, then 20-30 mins before started rising by 2-4 cent increments. Happened last week with the pirates and cubs. Happened yesterday with a low cards line, the line dropped even lower 5-10 mins before the game, in addition to the already low line.

    Something definite to look in to
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Download Yahoo Sports and follow the line movement on there. Take screenshots in the morning and compare over 2 hour periods. Pay attention to the line movement 20 mins before each game and pay attention to the LATE movement 10 mins before.

    I've noticed over the past month that paying attention to the line movement on this app literally right before start of the game, will allow you to make the best decision for that game. Happened yesterday with BOS, line dropped an hour before, then 20-30 mins before started rising by 2-4 cent increments. Happened last week with the pirates and cubs. Happened yesterday with a low cards line, the line dropped even lower 5-10 mins before the game, in addition to the already low line.

    Something definite to look in to
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 1:31 PM ET #2

    Currently looking at this cards game again. I screenshot the line at 11:53am and it stood at -117, since then it has gone down to -112 and back up to -115, if it reaches 120-125 before game time without dropping one more time, Cardinals is the play.
    Reply
    Currently looking at this cards game again. I screenshot the line at 11:53am and it stood at -117, since then it has gone down to -112 and back up to -115, if it reaches 120-125 before game time without dropping one more time, Cardinals is the play.
     
    HoosierBettor
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 1:36 PM ET #3

    So what is your logic behind this other than a few correlations of a team winning when the line moved in its favor right before the start of the game?  Have you seen this happen and the team lost?  In this theory, how many have lost and how many have won and what's your sample size?  Elaborate.
    Reply
    So what is your logic behind this other than a few correlations of a team winning when the line moved in its favor right before the start of the game?  Have you seen this happen and the team lost?  In this theory, how many have lost and how many have won and what's your sample size?  Elaborate.
     
    NOmoose
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 1:39 PM ET #4

    this would probably have to have a bigger sample size.  Where do you find yahoo sports, and what do we have to download?
    Reply
    this would probably have to have a bigger sample size.  Where do you find yahoo sports, and what do we have to download?
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 1:41 PM ET #5

    Nothing logged. CLEARLY this shouldn't be the only factor determining your decision but it should be the last thing to consider. Try it out for yourself today and see how it plays out. I don't have the time to log this but have been observing it the past month especially on the games I've lost money on due to late line movement on this app.
    Reply
    Nothing logged. CLEARLY this shouldn't be the only factor determining your decision but it should be the last thing to consider. Try it out for yourself today and see how it plays out. I don't have the time to log this but have been observing it the past month especially on the games I've lost money on due to late line movement on this app.
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 1:43 PM ET #6

    App Store on an iPhone and search yahoo sports. This is the BEST sports app to keep up with multiple sports, lines, and matchup previews. The MLB section has been off as of late, probably just need to do an update I love this app and it's the most organized sports app out there.
    Reply
    App Store on an iPhone and search yahoo sports. This is the BEST sports app to keep up with multiple sports, lines, and matchup previews. The MLB section has been off as of late, probably just need to do an update I love this app and it's the most organized sports app out there.
     
    HoosierBettor
    HoosierBettor
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 1:46 PM ET #7

    Now you just sound like a Yahoo app salesman.  GL anyway and if you're serious, track it for at least a few days or 10+ games and get back to us on what you find.
    Reply
    Now you just sound like a Yahoo app salesman.  GL anyway and if you're serious, track it for at least a few days or 10+ games and get back to us on what you find.
     
    NOmoose
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 1:47 PM ET #8

    cool, thanks!
    Reply
    cool, thanks!
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 1:54 PM ET #9

    I do don't I lol but seriously once you download this app whether it be because of my observation or just for sport tracking purposes, you'll learn to love this app for all your scores, news and lines. Much better than espn, cbs sports anything else that's out there. I work most evenings from 5-11 so tracking this will be difficult but I'll do my best. Right now I'm paying attention to the cardinals and orioles.
    Reply
    I do don't I lol but seriously once you download this app whether it be because of my observation or just for sport tracking purposes, you'll learn to love this app for all your scores, news and lines. Much better than espn, cbs sports anything else that's out there. I work most evenings from 5-11 so tracking this will be difficult but I'll do my best. Right now I'm paying attention to the cardinals and orioles.
     
    venezolanisimo
    venezolanisimo
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 2:01 PM ET #10

    MY SPORTSBOOK CARDS LINE -123 NOW 
    Reply
    MY SPORTSBOOK CARDS LINE -123 NOW 
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 2:05 PM ET #11

    Slowly rising. If I see this line on Yahoo Sports to be -120-125 without dropping in the last 10 mins I'm pounding it. Cardinals are 26-8 after a loss.
    Reply
    Slowly rising. If I see this line on Yahoo Sports to be -120-125 without dropping in the last 10 mins I'm pounding it. Cardinals are 26-8 after a loss.
     
    Dr_Emmett_Brown
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 2:14 PM ET #12

    If you find an edge, don't bother sharing it.

    Ppl will insult you over it, then use it themselves.

    Most ppl on this site are total losers and insult people, but ironically
    tail these ppl.

    When you find your edge, keep it quiet. Nobody here is here to help you, or cares about you winning, only what they can get out of you. Don't bother explaining yourself. Just data mine and look for ideas in a few gem posts, and ignore all the haters.
    Reply
    If you find an edge, don't bother sharing it.

    Ppl will insult you over it, then use it themselves.

    Most ppl on this site are total losers and insult people, but ironically
    tail these ppl.

    When you find your edge, keep it quiet. Nobody here is here to help you, or cares about you winning, only what they can get out of you. Don't bother explaining yourself. Just data mine and look for ideas in a few gem posts, and ignore all the haters.
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 2:19 PM ET #13

    Line dropped to -113, not good for STL. GREAT for Cubbies. If it doesn't go over the initial line of -117-120 it is a definite no play on the Cardinals and a strong consideration on the Cubbies. Hot bats+No Holliday+Before All Star Break+ Negative Line Movement+ Low line+Previous games played would = a play on the Cubbies
    Reply
    Line dropped to -113, not good for STL. GREAT for Cubbies. If it doesn't go over the initial line of -117-120 it is a definite no play on the Cardinals and a strong consideration on the Cubbies. Hot bats+No Holliday+Before All Star Break+ Negative Line Movement+ Low line+Previous games played would = a play on the Cubbies
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 2:20 PM ET #14

    Thanks for the advice Emmett. BOL
    Reply
    Thanks for the advice Emmett. BOL
     
    NOmoose
    NOmoose
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 2:52 PM ET #15

    love the app already.  easy access to scores.
    Reply
    love the app already.  easy access to scores.
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 3:08 PM ET #16

    The BEST. If the MLB tab doesn't reload and update regularly use the Trending or Live tab right above it.
    Reply
    The BEST. If the MLB tab doesn't reload and update regularly use the Trending or Live tab right above it.
     
    CoronaPicks
    CoronaPicks
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 3:16 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Emmett_Brown:

    If you find an edge, don't bother sharing it.

    Ppl will insult you over it, then use it themselves.

    Most ppl on this site are total losers and insult people, but ironically
    tail these ppl.

    When you find your edge, keep it quiet. Nobody here is here to help you, or cares about you winning, only what they can get out of you. Don't bother explaining yourself. Just data mine and look for ideas in a few gem posts, and ignore all the haters.


    I could not disagree more.  If you find an edge (or think you did) why not post it?  If you post it now you have what 200 people all looking at it.  If even one of those people post something useful to make your edge that much better it was a win for everyone.

    Sure you are going to take garbage but who cares?  90% of the people here just want to make money doing something they love!  It just happens that the other 10% are very loud.

    JMO

    Corona:)
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Emmett_Brown:

    If you find an edge, don't bother sharing it.

    Ppl will insult you over it, then use it themselves.

    Most ppl on this site are total losers and insult people, but ironically
    tail these ppl.

    When you find your edge, keep it quiet. Nobody here is here to help you, or cares about you winning, only what they can get out of you. Don't bother explaining yourself. Just data mine and look for ideas in a few gem posts, and ignore all the haters.


    I could not disagree more.  If you find an edge (or think you did) why not post it?  If you post it now you have what 200 people all looking at it.  If even one of those people post something useful to make your edge that much better it was a win for everyone.

    Sure you are going to take garbage but who cares?  90% of the people here just want to make money doing something they love!  It just happens that the other 10% are very loud.

    JMO

    Corona:)
     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 3:20 PM ET #18

    Of course, I've been on Covers long enough to realize this. I just want people to make money, same way I look into other people's posts to see what their edge is. Can't take everything into consideration but when you know how to filter things out, you make for a great combination of factors that help you make money at the end of the day.

    In regards to the Cards..the play right now at 3:20pm EST is the Cubs and NO Score 1st Inning. The line is down to -113 again, unless there's a sudden increase back up to -117 + this line is a sucker bet for Card backers
    Reply
    Of course, I've been on Covers long enough to realize this. I just want people to make money, same way I look into other people's posts to see what their edge is. Can't take everything into consideration but when you know how to filter things out, you make for a great combination of factors that help you make money at the end of the day.

    In regards to the Cards..the play right now at 3:20pm EST is the Cubs and NO Score 1st Inning. The line is down to -113 again, unless there's a sudden increase back up to -117 + this line is a sucker bet for Card backers
     
    Morrisbm
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 3:28 PM ET #19

    Its real tough to pull the trigger on Cubs over Cards. Especially when are Cardinals are 26-8 after a loss.

    Reply

    Its real tough to pull the trigger on Cubs over Cards. Especially when are Cardinals are 26-8 after a loss.

     
    plchris
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 3:36 PM ET #20

    There's a reason the line is so low
    Reply
    There's a reason the line is so low
     
    Morrisbm
    Morrisbm
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 3:44 PM ET #21

    My book just moved from -112 to -120 in a matter of 5 min. Lets see how your theory plays out.Cards is the play for me

    BOL buddy

    Reply

    My book just moved from -112 to -120 in a matter of 5 min. Lets see how your theory plays out.Cards is the play for me

    BOL buddy

     
    Pay4Life
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 3:57 PM ET #22

    Thanks plchris for pointing this out. I feel like a noob for not trying the Yahoo sports app but in a couple minutes already out shines cbs/espn apps.
    Reply
    Thanks plchris for pointing this out. I feel like a noob for not trying the Yahoo sports app but in a couple minutes already out shines cbs/espn apps.
     
    fitchris562
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 4:10 PM ET #23

    On The Cubbies +1.5. BOL Fellas
    Reply
    On The Cubbies +1.5. BOL Fellas
     
    RudyGay
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 4:23 PM ET #24

    Hey Chris where do u find the line movements on yahoo sports?  I can't seem to find it.  Or is it just the ml they have on the info that you go by our there's a list of line movements every min or hour like that?
    Reply
    Hey Chris where do u find the line movements on yahoo sports?  I can't seem to find it.  Or is it just the ml they have on the info that you go by our there's a list of line movements every min or hour like that?
     
     
    plchris
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 4:30 PM ET #25

    Just the ML. It fluctuates throughout the day.
    Reply
    Just the ML. It fluctuates throughout the day.
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