Fair point but I will also point out that he has 7 days rest between his last regular season game and his only post season game this year and as we all know got blown up. The man chokes. Plain and simple. He has done it in the past and so far done it this year. The line is less than his last start but still -200 I expect to win 80% of the time and I am not sure I can conclusively say with Verlander that I will win 80% of the time with him pitching in the post season. I will add NYY throwing out Talion is a bonus. Maybe the OVER is the only real safe (or at least far safer) play here.
Verlander allowed 10 hits and 6 runs last week against the Mariners. Only twice this season did he endure starts as bad as that one. Back on May 27th, he coincidentally allowed 10 hits and 6 runs against those same Mariners in Seattle. In his next start, he blanked the A’s in Oakland over the 1st 5 innings, allowing no hits.
On June 18th, he failed to get out of the 4th inning in a home game against the White Sox, allowing 9 hits and 7 runs (4 earned). In his next start, he blanked the Yankees over the 1st 5 innings at Yankee Stadium, scattering 3 hits.
Jameson Taillon’s ERA on the road this season was almost a run higher than at home. In the 1st 5 innings of road games, he was even worse. From July 5th onward, he started 10 times on the road and recorded an ERA of 5.03 over the 1st 5 inning portions of those starts. Over his 4 most recent road starts, that 1st 5 ERA swelled to 5.82.
For those reasons and a couple others, I’m feeling very good about being on the Astros -.5 -120 in the 1st 5 innings of tonight’s Game 1.
LOL dude are you talking to yourself? She doesn't appear to be but if she is I would take a spin with her. Definitely my type.
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