Well Votto and Hosmer didn’t get what I would call quality chances to drive in a run.
Lorenzo Cain couldn’t get a pitch thrown over the plate with runners at second and third with one out and ended up being intentionally walked after he was 3-0. Definitely frustrating there.
Cubs on the other hand scored a timely run in the top of the 5th for the draw no bet win in the first five and the Indians did enough off Rodon coming back from Tommy John surgery to win game two for the parlay yesterday.
2020 record:
1-8 single picks
3-2 two pick parlays
(rather odd record to see obviously)
+1.27 units
On to today’s picks:
Braves to lead after five innings (-103):
Soroka seems to be a quality pitcher early game. Morton was saying before his first start he wasn’t feeling at his best and seemingly showed it in his first start. I like Soroka to keep the rays at bat first five and hope that Atlanta can score a few early.
Whit Merrifield for an RBI (+150):
39 at bats against Boyd. .513 batting average with eight RBI’s. He can hit the HR, if he sees a good pitch to turn on, but I have to think if he gets a RISP when he’s up, has a great shot at driving one in. Tigers bullpen hasn’t exactly been stellar either if it comes to that. Price here is way too high in my opinion to ignore given everything mentioned, to go along with his hot start to the year.
Chris Paddack over 5.5 strikeouts (+110):
Had three starts against (IMO) a better overall lineup for the Giants last year. Had no less then six strikeouts in any of the three. Even with one of those starts not being a good one. I think + value is a gift all things considered here.
Two pick parlay:
Brewers over 4.5 runs to go with Royals over 4.5 runs (+274):
Given the issues Boyd seems to have with KC and the suspect bullpen, I like Royals to at least get a good amount of runs here.
As for the Brewers, Musgrove is terrible against the Brewers and the bullpen is one of the worst in the league. I know Brewers have been a little flat with the bats to a degree, but even as such, they have reached the number tonight in the previous games against the Pirates. I can’t see them doing worse than what they have done in the previous games in this series.
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