BREWERS/GIANTS under 7.5 -105 @5DIMES
Anderson is a flyball pitcher so that means he should love pitching at AT&T Park. He also does well away from home. Let’s take a look at his home and road splits.
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As you can see his wOBA at home is .341 while his wOBA on the road is .274…his stats across the board are better on the road and a lot of that has to do with his flyball/GB ratio which is sitting at 36.5% right now. Bumgarner is coming off a rough outing vs the A’s who have been seeing the ball well, that game was on the road and he had a very uncharacteristic 6 walks. If you know anything about Bumgarner you know he hardly ever has two poor outings in a row. I can see this being a pitchers duel and a very low scoring marine layered night game which many games in SF are.
Both BPs are solid, Brewers are among on of the best in the league and the Giants BP is always managed well.
Neither offense is tearing the ball up right now as in last 7 games the Brewers are hitting .238 with a .667 OPS and the Giants OPS is barely over .600.
Anderson who is a flyball pitcher who has been lights out on the road is going against the Giants ACE coming off a rough outing and we are getting it over the key number of 7 which is key here as a final score of 7 ended up a winner for us increases the % of chance this wins. Thank you for reading this.
Good luck.