Posted:
#1
8/17/09
KC v CHW ... CHW by 2 or more runs. Currently at about -125.
Upside:
Lots of HRs hit in this park, and the Royals relievers have not only given up a lot of runs lately, but a lot of HRs too. Since the Sox have been hitting HRs lately, well, this could get ugly in the later innings. The Sox relievers have been striking people out lately, so less chances for KC on base. The Sox, on the other hand, have been on a total bases tear. Buehrle isn't walking many, despite his higher than usual recent ERA, and he lasts longer than most.
Downside:
The Royals relievers have been striking people out of late despite surrendering HRs. The Sox aren't stealing many bases, so they're not doing as much as others to manufacture runs, probably because they rely on the HR so much. The Sox are a bit error prone lately, but it's hard to figure how much that could be at play here. Buehrle needs to get some of that perfection factor back. His recent K ratio is somewhat low.
Key:
If the Sox hitters are hot, it could be a long night for Royals pitchers.
General Statistical Prediction: CHW 8.30, KC 4.66.
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