MLB – 2016
38-35, $ +1,059.21, +7.3% RoR
5/13 Flat $200.00
White Sox -142, Sale/Severino
Yankee bettors are lining up again as they seem to be back in the groove
after the Royals visit but that was a road weary Royals team they took
advantage of. The Yankees last 8 versus lefty reads like this. 4 quality
performances versus guys that today average an era of 5.49. 4 non quality
performances against guys that today average 3.23. And today comes Chris Sale,
1.79. See the pattern? The Yankees good numbers have not been run up against
good pitching, and today they face the guy that is better than both the good
ones and the bad ones, 6-1 h2h, 7-0 qs, and a 1.79 era. They counter with Luis
Severino, 0-6, 1-5, 6.12. No contest.
Braves, First 5 Innings, +139, Teheran/Volquez
One of the reasons the Yankees looked good versus the Royals was they
are road weary, with 13 of their last 16 on the road with only 2 days off in
that span. After a trip like that a team will often take a day or so to get
their feet back on the ground and get into the rhythm of life at home again.
Unfortunately for them the Braves are sending out their top gun in Teheran and
he changes the odds versus the Braves to much narrower than they normally are.
Although we want nothing to do with a bullpen matchup the Braves surrender
nothing in a 5 inning Teheran/Volquez matchup.
Mets -113, Harvey/Gray
Forget the shutout last night, Kershaw is a top gun lefty and Jon Gray
is a slightly below average righty, which does not impress the Mets with their
6.26 oera and 12 of their last 15 versus righty being quality performances.
They actually have a better offense for Coors Field than the Rockies. Forget
home field advantage, the Mets should be about -146 and tonight’s line offers
true value.
Cardinals +117, Wacha/Stripling
The Dodgers split with the Mets 2-2 with lefties giving them both wins,
a category I have repeatedly told you is not a good one for the Mets. Stripling
is not of the quality of a Wood or Kershaw and the Cardinals are a far better,
and hotter, offense than the Dodgers. They just averaged 8.33 runs per game
across the street in Anaheim and seem to have no knowledge that So Cal parks
are not for hitting. Wacha is the better side of the pitching matchup and his
boys should hit Stripling. Case closed.
BOL
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