MLB 5/15, I'm Back, Like It Or Not

Yes, the Gay Paree extravaganza is over. I am rested and updated and all systems are go for a successful launch. Now you guys can get busy with the usual sarcastic crap like "Oh, were you gone? I hadn't noticed". If this joint is what I have for friends, then I damn sure don't need enemies.

Season, 26-22-9 - + $2,318.62 - +14.8% RoR

5/15 - $370 each – flat bets - [3% of bankroll, 10,000 +/- profit/loss]

F5 White Sox -210 – Minor/Rodon

Comment: It sure is a good thing the books don’t set or hold lines based on true probability. With a guy of limited superior performance background like Rodon they know they are going to get “upset” money. Considering Minor, with a 1-6 quality start record, versus Rodon at 5-0, and their corresponding power rating numbers of 54.8/77.7, and the far superior offensive rating of the Sox versus lefty, Royals versus lefty, I make my “reality” line……..

CWS -327

So, there is good value in a very large favorite. Now, the question will arise “Why not bet the run line. Save a bunch of that juice?” Because, if you start laying runs to lower odds you also lower the probability of winning and/or pushing, and at that lay I don’t want to chance that. Do what you want. At -210 the Sox pay 46.7 cents on the dollar, and I don’t know about you, but I don’t have any other investments that are going to pay 46.7% today.

This will be the only bump. I don't believe in that, so it ain't my fault if you didn't see it.

Welcome back. BOL

Good Luck  Key 

Rodon has the best left handed slider in the game. Sneaky good velo on his fastball too.

That's all I know.

Good Luck

Dane Dunning getting no respect 

I apologize in advance if Houston's offense has been hitting well recently(I haven't paid attention). Maybe they are worth the odds if so.

But I still doubt it

I figure most of the regulars and ALL the trolls missed this pick or they would be all over my azz. What is it? The funny, funky caps? It ain't over but Rodon is having his worst outing of the season. There I went and said nice things about the boy and he kicks me in the gonads. 

As for that Mariners idea sac. I know it is late but I just got up from my nap, and yes, Houston is hitting right handed starters very well right now. 

Call it a day, get to work on tomorrow. 

Bauer has bad history with his ref beyond i am guessing

Bauer has bad history with his ref beyond i am guessing

While Key should be admired for limiting his games,he should be ridiculed for being SQUARE as my kitchen window

Rodon felt "due" to lose to me and Minors numbers werent all that bad...since I won last time Rodon pitched 3-0 fairly large bet I wasnt going to press Rodon again, myself

I haven't been here in some time. It's great to see you winning this year, Key. I'll look for your thread tomorrow.

@casheasy

 The trolls haven't been here in some time either, but they couldn't pass up this opportunity.

@KeyElement

 46%?  That was wrong Key.  Stop being so modest.  That was only for 1 day.  

The number that we low-life peons can relate to (and compare to our paltry 0.005% at Tupolo Savings & Loan) is the true annualized rate (because we know you will win at this rate for a year!) of 16,790%.

So for that $100 we stole from Uncle Cooter's "moonshine ingredient fund", our return will be $1,679,000.

That is almost as good a return as that $24.76 will bring from the nice Ethiopian Prince.

Thanks!