If any team should be fatigued tonight it should be the Yankees. Double header on the road, second game delayed for ESPN, and travel after that. I am not crazy about going against Mitchell in his first major league start (you just never know), but I just can’t see the Yankees as a favorite in this situation.
The Padres are not as bad as most folks think and the Rockies not nearly as good. This is a coin flip game in my opinion. The Rockies, at 34-25-5 have had more success than the Padres at 29-30-7 versus right handed starters but much of that success, and the success of their young pitchers, is behind them.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
7/17/17
86-92-5, RoR–2.89% (vs 11/10 odds 50.9%)
Twins +107, FG, Mitchell / Mejia
Padres +153, FG, Perdomo / Marquez
BOL
If any team should be fatigued tonight it should be the Yankees. Double header on the road, second game delayed for ESPN, and travel after that. I am not crazy about going against Mitchell in his first major league start (you just never know), but I just can’t see the Yankees as a favorite in this situation.
The Padres are not as bad as most folks think and the Rockies not nearly as good. This is a coin flip game in my opinion. The Rockies, at 34-25-5 have had more success than the Padres at 29-30-7 versus right handed starters but much of that success, and the success of their young pitchers, is behind them.
The Padres are not as bad as most folks think and the Rockies not nearly as good. This is a coin flip game in my opinion. The Rockies, at 34-25-5 have had more success than the Padres at 29-30-7 versus right handed starters but much of that success, and the success of their young pitchers, is behind them.
The thing is..Perdomo throws primarily Sinker and Curveballs and at Coors Field, at around 5200 feet over sea level..you really can get a f**k***g Problem with that, cause´ .....your damn sinker ball will not sink very much..an´...your damn Curveball will not curve as much as you want
But, the emphasis is on ..."can"...good luck to you
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
The Padres are not as bad as most folks think and the Rockies not nearly as good. This is a coin flip game in my opinion. The Rockies, at 34-25-5 have had more success than the Padres at 29-30-7 versus right handed starters but much of that success, and the success of their young pitchers, is behind them.
The thing is..Perdomo throws primarily Sinker and Curveballs and at Coors Field, at around 5200 feet over sea level..you really can get a f**k***g Problem with that, cause´ .....your damn sinker ball will not sink very much..an´...your damn Curveball will not curve as much as you want
But, the emphasis is on ..."can"...good luck to you
FFT: I have been updating stats and ratings today, as I do every day, and this one strikes me as odd. Rick Porcello has now made 20 starts this season and is roundly criticized for not repeating his Cy Young season of a year ago. True, he is not having that kind of season, but it is not as bad as it appears and he is not "automatic fade material" as some folks think. He is actually having one of the most average seasons imaginable. He is right on the bubble with a rating of 59.8 and a quality start record of 10-10. So why is he so roundly castigated and folks say "he is burning money"?
The answer is he is only 4-16 for head to head wins. Understood correctly that means his offense simply has not backed him to this point. It is not a Porcello problem, it is a Red Sox offensive problem, so when deciding whether or not to back Porcello, you have to compute how the Red Sox offense will perform versus the other guy. I think this might illustrate why I do not often agree with cappers that want to "auto fade" or "auto follow" certain pitchers and/or teams.
It should also lay waste to the attitude "he doesn't get any run support". That is true, he hasn't, but it is not because he has a bad effect on his own offense or that they don't WANT to back him, it is just a matter of who he pitches against on a particular day and his own guys probability of hitting THAT STARTER.
Forget truisms and mythology, the facts are much more fun.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
FFT: I have been updating stats and ratings today, as I do every day, and this one strikes me as odd. Rick Porcello has now made 20 starts this season and is roundly criticized for not repeating his Cy Young season of a year ago. True, he is not having that kind of season, but it is not as bad as it appears and he is not "automatic fade material" as some folks think. He is actually having one of the most average seasons imaginable. He is right on the bubble with a rating of 59.8 and a quality start record of 10-10. So why is he so roundly castigated and folks say "he is burning money"?
The answer is he is only 4-16 for head to head wins. Understood correctly that means his offense simply has not backed him to this point. It is not a Porcello problem, it is a Red Sox offensive problem, so when deciding whether or not to back Porcello, you have to compute how the Red Sox offense will perform versus the other guy. I think this might illustrate why I do not often agree with cappers that want to "auto fade" or "auto follow" certain pitchers and/or teams.
It should also lay waste to the attitude "he doesn't get any run support". That is true, he hasn't, but it is not because he has a bad effect on his own offense or that they don't WANT to back him, it is just a matter of who he pitches against on a particular day and his own guys probability of hitting THAT STARTER.
Forget truisms and mythology, the facts are much more fun.
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