The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. San Diego has a win-loss record of 11-11 when favored by +120 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The Padres are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games against an opponent in the National League. Dunkel's Pick: San Diego (+119).
Take San Diego. Yu Darvish has been outstanding over his last five starts, which includes the Game 2 matchup with the Dodgers in this series. Darvish is a perfect 5-0 in his last five starts. Over that span, he’s averaged 5 2/3 innings per start, 3.8 hits allowed and 1.6 earned runs for a 2.43 ERA.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 4-1 in Yamamoto’s last five starts, but he hasn’t been sharp. Over that span, he owns a 5.21 ERA and is averaging 3 2/3 innings per start. He’s allowed an average of 4.2 hits and 2.2 earned runs over his last five outings, which includes a poor start versus the Dodgers in Game 1 of this series. Yamamoto lasted just three innings, allowing five runs on five hits. S.D. +125
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