MLB Mon Info

• MIN: Dylan Bundy - RHP (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 2 K, 0.40 WHIP)
• BOS: Rich Hill - LHP (0-0, 6.23 ERA, 4 K, 1.38 WHIP)

I like the Red Sox moneyline in this one. The Twins have struggled throughout the season and have managed just one run over their last two games against Boston. Expect Rich Hill to continue this trend and make it tough for Minnesota to get anything going. On top of that, the city should be buzzing with it being Boston Marathon Day. Playing the Red Sox moneyline here while there is still value at –145.  By J.Hedrick

The under is 5-1-1 in the Braves’ last seven road games, is 4-1 in their last five games overall and is 5-0 in their last five games when playing the opener of a new series. On the other side, the under is 20-5-1 in the Dodgers’ last 26 games when playing the opener of a series, is 11-3 in their last 14 games when coming off a win and is 6-2-1 in their last nine games overall. LAD/Atl UN 8 /A.Rome

Minnesota (3-6) @ Boston (5-4)
— Bundy threw five shutout IP in his first ‘22 start.
— Twins are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 2-5, 5.44 in 10 games (7 starts) at Fenway.

— Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
— Twins are 1-2 on the road.
— over 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2

— Hill allowed three runs in 4.1 IP (70 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— Boston is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 0-1, 9.53 in eight relief stints vs Minnesota.

Red Sox won four of their last five games.
— Boston is 2-1 at home. 
— under 6-2 last nine games. 
— scored run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-3

Atlanta (5-6) @ Los Angeles (7-2)
— Ynoa allowed 5 runs in three IP in his first ‘22 start.
— Braves are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.

— Braves are 3-5 in last eight games.
— Atlanta is 2-2 on the road.
— under last three games
— scored run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-1

— Kershaw threw seven perfect IP (70 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— Dodgers are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 5-1, 2.20 in 12 starts vs Atlanta.

Dodgers won their last six games.
— Los Angeles is 4-0 at home.  
— under 5-3-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-3

Boston’s regular order batted effectively vs. right-handed starters last season,  and a number of its stars have had Bundy’s number historically.

This looks like a good spot for the heart of the Red Sox’s order to build on their recent big showing. I think we will see them get to Bundy for three-plus earned runs and get into the Twins’ bullpen.

We can expect Minnesota will manage some offense against Hill, as well.

I believe that the majority of the Red Sox’s wins will come in high-scoring games, which makes me see value backing a Red Sox win plus the over nine at +215.

Pick: Boston Red Sox + Over 9 Parlay +215 (Play to +200)/By N.Martin

While I agree that this doesn’t project to be a high-scoring game, which makes the under seem like a tempting bet, it makes more sense to just bet the Giants.

San Francisco just showed they’re a good road team winning a series against the Guardians in Cleveland and I expect that to continue as their road trip shifts to New York.

The Giants seem to have an edge on both sides of the ball as Cobb has the upper hand on the Mets left-handed hitters whereas Megill cedes the advantage to the Giants lefty bats.

That makes this a pretty good value at +100 and I would be comfortable betting it to -110. Check out the MLB Odds page for the best line leading up to first pitch.

Pick: Giants ML (+100) By N.Shlain

Giants 4,  Mets 2

Through 20 career games, Megill has held right-handed bats to a .559 OPS, while lefties have clobbered him for a .942 mark. San Francisco bats plenty from the left side and with authority and frequency at the top of the order.

Cobb was sharp in his first outing and is backed by a better-rested bullpen in the back end.

BACK SAN FRANCISCO (+102). /S.Snow

BET the RAYS (-155) because this is a fair price for a Tampa team that has an edge in the 3 most important phases of baseball (starting and relief pitching and hitting) and the Rays have been much better in interleague play record than the Cubs (+125).

McClanahan is at the top of a Tampa rotation that should be a factor come October whereas Hendricks is more of a middle-of-the-rotation starter at this point in his career and typically gets off to a slow start.

April is Hendricks’ worst month by ERA, FIP, hard-hit rate, WHIP and home runs allowed per 9 innings, according to FanGraphs.

Since the start of last season, the Rays are 15-5 versus NL teams and the Cubs are 6-14 against AL teams. In fact, Tampa has the best winning percentage in interleague play since the beginning of 2019 at 44-22.

BET the RAYS (-155). TB 5-3 /By G.Clark

John Bollman

L.A. ANGELS @ HOUSTON | 04/18 | 8:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -160
ANALYSIS: Last home opener in MLB is in Houston tonight. Both teams will be missing key players, Angels should be without Trout, Astros should be without Ryan Pressly who is on the IL. Yordan Alvarez is also expected to be back for this game as well. Michael Lorenzen was very good in his debut but that was against the Marlins. Luis Garcia only allowed 2 hits in 4 IP in his first start. He was also much better at home last season at 6-5 with a 2.73 ERA. Garcia didn’t pitch too well against the Angels last season, but he did improve against them as the season went along. The Astros were 7-3 at home against the Angels last season and they are 16-7 against them in their last 23 games overall. Take the Astros at home.

3 postponed games today. anyone know ahy