MLB TODAY PLAYS (10/17)

YTD (MLB PLAYOFFS):  10-6 ATS

Been absent for some days mainly due to my business challenges that have come about over the past couple of weeks.  I'm not sure if that's working its way into my selections but I'm not going to lean on that being a reason b/c I do the analytics just the same.  But I'm moving forward now and really like these two plays:

UNDER 4 (-120) NYY/CLE...BIG PLAY!!!:  This is a tad bit low, I also like no score in the first inning, this is a day game with some shadows early.  The Indians are the best home team in the AL and they have all the pressure directly on them.  Clarke Schmidt is quite good, missed a big part of the season, and I think he gets through 4/5.  Matt Boyd has been better in Cleveland and really solid during the day.  The Indians also have the most outs made by relievers in the playoffs this season so if he gets in trouble he will be on a short leash.  That being said, I do think he's good and will show that to be the case today.

  I have a future on the Dodgers to win the World Series but I just don't see how they don't exercise their muscles tonight as well.  Quintana has been sneaky good this year, especially of late, and Yamamoto has been injured most the year but has been solid when on the bump.  I'm leaning the Dodgers but really want to meditate a bit on it only because I think the Mets bullpen is a bit taxed so I can see David Peterson throwing tonight and he hasn't been as awesome in the playoffs as he's been in the regular season.

There have been a lot of red hot handicappers out there so I totally get tailing them, always do your own research and, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Hi, if you don’t mind me asking, what was the Dodgers to win the World Series future? I placed $20 on them through DraftKings when they had an enhanced bonus of 10 to 1 odds preseason  Ty

Yes, I bought them at +300 so I put $2K to win $6K.  This was just before the start of the playoffs.

@LAGameofInches

 Thanks 

@LAGameofInches

 What two plays? I only see under 4 for 1st 5 innings.

I’m on under 7 +105 and under 7 EV as well as under 4 -115 in the 1st 5.

@Jdawg8899

Yes I said I'll be back with the second play.  Good to get the first one out of the way.

@MrBator

Yanks bullpen has to not self combust here and it will be a swee"p" day for you...at least for the first game (unless you're referencing the second game in which I will most likely be on the UNDER as well)

Ok...well I really can't ignore how good Quintana has been in the postseason and really for the end of the year.  He's locked in, they are at home and I'm sure can feel the pressure, but really the Mets are playing with house money.  I do EXPECT the Dodgers to go up 3-1 but I'd rather bet on both pitchers showing up and the bullpens doing their thing....

UNDER 4 (-120) LAD/NYM:  back to the well here, I expect Yamamoto to hold himself to a high standard and come out strong again today.  I think he is getting things sorted out after a slow start to the season and just in time if you're a Dodgers fan.  I would think this could be a big play on my end but don't want to push too much since I really do like the FG UNDER

UNDER 7 (EVEN) LAD/NYM:  I believe as stated above that Quintana and Yamamoto come out strong.  Much like the Indians bullpen, the Dodgers bullpen has made the 2nd most outs via the bullpen so they are strong.  I think the Mets keep it close but in the end I think the Dodgers come out with the win.  At even money though, this is a really good spot for this.

Not sure about NFL but if these two also can cash I won't care since I already hit the play for big money earlier.  Just though the FG UNDER might be dicey so laid off that.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...