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#1
Monday: 1-2 (PENDING Astros/A's UNDER 7, maybe a push?)
Tough luck on Monday. Decided against doing Jays -137 and went with the value with the -1.5 +144 and it bit me in the ass with a one run win. Jays couldn't cash in with RISP. Foolishly went with the under in the A's game when I should have just stuck with the RL.
On to Tuesday, get ready for a DOG DAY.
Pirates +140 over Cardinals
This line is crazy inflated. Jake Westbrook has pitch 15.2 innings of shutout ball but he's gotten lucky. He's K/BB ratio is 4:10. That's ugly. He could be due for a blowup against these red-hot Pirates bats. Dating back to 2010, the Cards have gone 0-5 in Westbrook's starts vs. the Pirates. As I mentioned yesterday, the Pirates have consistently played this Cardinals team tough. Jonathan Sanchez is wild, but he has good stuff. Perhaps PNC Park can hide his shortcomings. Give me the Buccos.
Royals +170 over Braves
Going against the hottest team in baseball right now. The Royals have cashed in with RISP this year and have an emerging powerhouse lineup. Kris Medlen has been sloppy early on, posting a lackluster 4 ks in 12 innings while walking 6. Since becoming a Royal, Guthrie has been a solid innings-eater in the mold of the Braves very own Paul Maholm. I believe this line is crazy inflated because the Braves are on fire, but the Royals can cool them off at a great price here.
Blue Jays -1.5 +144 over White Sox
The Sox pen is gassed in this one, as Gavin Floyd lasted 4.1 innings. The Jays should have pounded them last game but continue to struggle with RISP. Joey Bats will be back for this game, and it is likely that Brett Lawrie will join him in the lineup. Dylan Axelrod is a decent young pitcher but he has had trouble keeping his pitch count down. Look for the Jays to work him and he'll likely last 5 innings. I'm still a big believer in Josh Johnson.
Diamondbacks +115 over Yankees
Brandon McCarthy has been shelled in his first two starts, but I'm still a big believer in him. This Yankees lineup is not the same and as a big time groundball pitcher I think he can shut them down. I think he bounces back in a big way in this one. Ivan Nova will likely get shelled in this one.
My record will be posted tomorrow after the A's under loses or pushes.
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