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Atl @ Cin over 7.5 2u
- My research had me predicting the line to come out at 7. Miller's numbers are due to regress with a xFIP of 3.73 and a SIERA of 3.94, obviously this does not mean he WILL regress THIS game but eventually it will happen. This same reasoning for Leake sitting at an ERA of 2.47 with a xFIP of 3.79 and a SIERA of 3.97. The only thing i worry about with this play is the fact that Freeman is 1 for 15 with 4ks and Votto is 3 for 12 with 5ks.
NYY @ TB under 7 2u
-My research had me predicting the line to come out at 8 i still decided to make this play. Sabathia is due for a stellar outing with an ERA of 5.45 / xFIP 3.88 / SIERA 3.88. While Colome has simply just been stellar this whole season with an ERA of 1.80 / xFIP 1.86 / SIERA 2.21, also the Yankees have not seen a whole lot of Colome yet with only 22 AB total. The only thing that could screw this play over is the fact that Longoria owns Sabathia with a BA 0.414 going 24 for 58 with only 5ks.
WARNING
One play i liked until i did a little more research was KC @ Tex over 8.5 and even though both pitcher's stats make that look very likely i just dont think its a good play. Texas' stadium is from what ive heard a "Hitters ballpark" but i think that means it plays fairly small and but with these two teams only having hit 24HR each i dont think this should play a part in it. But who knows right? thats why this is called gambling :D
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