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#1
Hey guys, I've been betting on MLB matches for some time now. I found covers.com on accident and like the style how guys post their picks here and support each other.
I gonna share my picks including some reasoning with you from now on.
I don't have a special system or something like that. I always bet 5u (0.25% of my bankroll) on overs/unders and 10u (0.5% of my bankroll) on MLs. I tend to stay away from all other kinds of bets.
Picks for Mon, April 28, 2014
Reds @ Cubs, u7.0, -100$, 5u
Simon (CIN) ranks 4th among NL starters with an ERA of 1.30. Samardzija (CHC) ranks 7th with an ERA of 1.73. The Reds offense ranks 7th in the NL over the last 7 days with an OPS of .643. The Cubs rank 8th with .642. Against RHP the Reds offense ranks 7th in the NL with an OPS of .690. The Cubs are at 13th place with .623.
Rays @ White Sox, o9.0, -100$, 5u
Rienzo (CWS) shares an ERA of 4.91 right now. Odorizzi (TBR) shares an ERA of 6.52. Rienzo had one start right now and the score was 6-4 for the Sox. In Odorizzi's starts the total went over 9 in 3 of 4 games. Over the last 7 days the Sox offense ranks 1st in the AL with an OPS of .837 and against RHP the Sox offense ranks 1st in the AL with an OPS of .795. The Rays offense ranks 13th in the AL over the last 7 days, while they are 4th against RHP in the AL with an OPS of .757.
Rays @ White Sox, White Sox ML, +110$, 10u
Regarding some starter's stats and team offense look at my previous pick for this match. Aditionally, the White Sox are 8-5 at home, 5-5 over their last 10 and 9-9 against RHP. In Rienzo's first start the Sox came away with the Win. The Rays are 4-7 away, 4-6 over their last 10 and 9-8 against RHP. The Rays won one game in which Odorizzi started and lost the other 3. In 3 matches this season (all in this series) the White Sox won 2, the Rays won 1. The Sox outscored the Rays 18-12.
Indians @ Angels, u8.0, -120$, 5u
Skaggs (LAA) ranks 22nd among AL starters with an ERA of 3.21. Masterson (CLE) ranks 39 with an ERA of 4.50, but has an ERA of 2.45 against the Angels over his career, with an 2.14 ERA at Angels Stadium. Over the last 7 days the Angels offense has a .776 OPS (7th in AL) and against RHP of .756 (4th). But the Indians offense has only a .656 OPS over the last 7 (14th in AL) and a .633 OPS against LHP (12th).
Rockies @ Dbacks, Rockies ML, +116$, 10u
The Diamondbacks are 2-13 at home, 4-6 over the last 10 and 1-7 against LHP starters. The Rockies are 6-8 away, 7-3 over the last 10 and 3-5 against LHP. The Diamondbacks offense ranks at 10th in the NL over the last 7 days with an OPS of .619. The Rockies offense ranks at 1st in the NL over the last 7 days with an OPS of. 896. Against LHP the Diamondbacks rank 11th among NL teams with an OPS of .624, whie the Rockies rank 3rd with an OPS of .840. Dbacks starter Miley shares an ERA of 4.50 (51st among NL starters), while Rockies starter Morales shares an ERA of 3.89. The Dbacks are 4-1 in Miley's starts, but he only won 2 by himself, while the bullpen won the other 2. The Rockies are 2-2 in Morales's starts. In 3 matchups this season the Rockies won 2, the Dbacks 1.
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