All Forums | MLB Betting

Money Ball 5-14-2015

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 2397
Posts: 18
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 23140
Posted: #1

5-13

$214 Twins +131 (Nolasco/Lobstein) W

$214 White Sox +103 (Quintana/Nelson) W

$214 Padres +111 (Shields/Walker) W

YTD 36-30, + $1,975.35 (14.8% RoR)

5-14

$214 Twins +164 (Pelfrey/Sanchez)

BOL

Twins: The best line I see at the moment on Sanchez is -168. If you can tell me how a slumping pitcher and offense stand a better than 62.7% chance of winning this particular game, PLEASE, let me know how you figured that. It would do a lot of guys a lot of good to remember you are not betting the final standings, you are betting on who is the “better team” on this one given day. Hotter pitcher + hotter offense = better team.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2012
Posts: 34171
Posted: #2
Best of Luck today 
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 11658
Posted: #3
Polar opposites on this play, may the best team win.
Nice hits yesterday 

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2013
Posts: 768
Posted: #4
PLEASE let me know how you think they don't? Your perception of value makes you make too many bad bets key. When buying a house it's about location, location, location. When betting mlb it's about situation, situation, situation. Pelfrey threw a gem vs them a couple weeks ago. How often is a bum pitcher going to throw a good game vs a good team twice Ina row. Almost never. Pelfrey ha insane reverse splits vs an all righty team that just got embarrassed from Ricky nolasco. Classic spot of tigers not doing anything for a week and then exploding for 8+. Bloodbath today is imminent no matter how ugly the tiger lineup looks assuming vmart and jmart are out. In this specific situation today, I'd say the tigers would win 80-90% of the time long term. Of course this exact situation will never arise again so talking about the twins needing to win only 38% of the time in this spot is just silly and a terrible way to bet
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 1700
Posted: #5

blah blah blah Trice. The dude is up $2000.

Anyone trying to guage the variables of betting baseball with a bunch of anlysis is fooling themself only.

Its the most random sport to bet on and being in a rythym is more important than anylysis which only causes analysis in this sport.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2014
Posts: 326
Posted: #6
I've got a system play on the Tigers today but I'm not overly confident on it. I agree that there's some good value on the twins at that price.

But hey, gotta stick to the system when it went 34-5 last year right?
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2013
Posts: 32278
Posted: #7
nice yesterday....bol today key
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2015
Posts: 647
Posted: #8
GL today Key
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2010
Posts: 20468
Posted: #9
That's what I like to see.  Was hoping to see San Diego on your card.  Good luck, Key.



 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 344
Posted: #10
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 37877
Posted: #11
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 33526
Posted: #12
Best of luck today buddy..
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 26738
Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Newtons Law:

blah blah blah Trice. The dude is up $2000.

Anyone trying to guage the variables of betting baseball with a bunch of anlysis is fooling themself only.

Its the most random sport to bet on and being in a rythym is more important than anylysis which only causes analysis in this sport.

 

I kinda want to hear more about what Trice thinks on here

Also, let me know if anyone is able to decipher this guy's last sentence. Curious to know the language of origin.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2013
Posts: 768
Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Triceratops:

PLEASE let me know how yo think they don't? Your perception of value makes you make too many bad bets key. When buying a house it's about location, location, location. When betting mlb it's about situation, situation, situation. Pelfrey threw a gem vs them a couple weeks ago. How often is a bum pitcher going to throw a good game vs a good team twice Ina row. Almost never. Pelfrey ha insane reverse splits vs an all righty team that just got embarrassed from Ricky nolasco. Classic spot of tigers not doing anything for a week and then exploding for 8+. Bloodbath today is imminent no matter how ugly the tiger lineup looks assuming vmart and jmart are out. In this specific situation today, I'd say the tigers would win 80-90% of the time long term. Of course this exact situation will never arise again so talking about the twins needing to win only 38% of the time in this spot is just silly and a terrible way to bet



Hmmm
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2008
Posts: 22444
Posted: #15
GL Keys. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2013
Posts: 2777
Posted: #16
We loose the first pick my friend
What do u like next
I like b
My blue jays over
Still waiting for your pick
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 1457
Posted: #17
Nice try with the Twins.. worth a shot at that price.  especially after a 3-0 day. Good Luck on your next plays 
 
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 15753
Posted: #18
Hard luck today bud, get back on that horse tomorrow
All Forums | MLB Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.