All Forums | MLB Betting

Money Ball & KEYMetrics, Saturday 9.15.12

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 1218
Posts: 13
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 23140
Posted: #1

YTD: 322-310-29, +295.6 Units, +9.35% RoR

3-3, +4 Units Friday brings the week to 16-19-3, -6.1 Units

Got a little back yesterday but still have some serious ground to catch up today and tomorrow.

5 & 9 Inning Plays Today

Royals +140, +141, (Greinke / Guthrie)

Marlins +125, +126, (Cueto / Buehrle)

Giants +135, +137, (Zito / Miley)

Orioles +120, +123, (Britton / Parker)

5 Inning Over

Rockies-Padres Over 4, +100, (Pomeranz / Kelly)

9 Inning Under

Red Sox-Blue Jays Under 8, -120 , (Bucholz / Villanueva)

No time to comment today. I am still trying to wrap up the football and may not get that done either.

BOL

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 66756
Posted: #2
GL, mate.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 714
Posted: #3

Sweep the Leg!

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 642
Posted: #4
good luck Key .
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 2583
Posted: #5
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2004
Posts: 7674
Posted: #6
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 2702
Posted: #7
cash 'em, Key! 


love the Rockies over in 5...
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 2332
Posted: #8
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2011
Posts: 1645
Posted: #9
Key, you went 6-6 yesterday. 6 dog losses, so you might be correct on the units. BOL today.
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 23140
Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by Beckwith:

Key, you went 6-6 yesterday. 6 dog losses, so you might be correct on the units. BOL today.
Yeah, it is 6-6. I was probably only looking at 5 or 9 inning tally when I typed, but the YTD and Units are correct anyway. Sharp eye man. I keep the record in excel so it is sort of self correcting anyway. A typo one day in the posting does not carry over and leave the record inaccurate.

Boston-Toronto Under like thunder is in the bank at 5. Surprising to have the same two teams over one day and under the next but it is a good example of how important pitching is to the game. If the chuckers are weak anyone can hit them, and if they are really good noone can. 

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 1951
Posted: #11
Hey KeyElement, quick question
are your plays all 1 unit each? Because you are up 295 units, its a huge number if your doing 1 unit per play.

I'm just curious how you calculate, you seem to know what your doing in terms of BR management and playing value plays.  So learning from you would be great.  
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 23140
Posted: #12
Mr-Unit, thanx for the compliment. All are 5 units unless otherwise noted, so if you wanted a 1 unit tally it would be 59.12 units. I occasionally like a little more or less on a pick, so I play 5 units per game and have the room to go with 6 or 4 if I choose. In my opinion that is a OK variance in wager size. There are guys here and elsewhere that will lay 1 to 10, and even "add the juice" to a 10 unit favorite. That is way too much variance in risk.

Think of it this way. If a guy wanted to a basic $100 wager per game he could call his unit $20 and play $100 on most picks. If I had a 4 unit play it would be an $80 wager and a 6 unit would be $120. This is far and away better money management since no wager is worthy of 10X your basic play.

I also don't know when or how I wiped it out but my daily post should have a line that says

Unless otherwise noted all plays are 5 Units FLAT, I do NOT "add the juice" on favorites.

Thanx for asking, I hope the answer helps


Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 12725
Posted: #13
Good luck
All Forums | MLB Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.