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Views: 420
Posts: 17
 
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Posted: #1
i have a decent parlay right now thats looking really good........i need to know by someone who caps under overs extremly well if you think sf/az is going to be under or over 8
 
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Posted: #2
Flip a coin. Most people are playing under because of Lincecum. I wouldn't bet it.
 
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Posted: #3
Very tough to call. You have a great pitcher against an ordinary pitcher. It could be 3-0 or 12-2.

If you look at the market the line has been bet over quite substantially. The total opened at 7.5 under -115 last night and is now 8 over -115. So it has been bet up a half run and 10 cents.

What does that tell you?


 
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Posted: #4
Take the under.
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Syddigs:

Very tough to call. You have a great pitcher against an ordinary pitcher. It could be 3-0 or 12-2.

If you look at the market the line has been bet over quite substantially. The total opened at 7.5 under -115 last night and is now 8 over -115. So it has been bet up a half run and 10 cents.

What does that tell you?....well....i have the OVER for the 3rd pic but want to be sure its got the best chance...this is for a decent amount and thinking about hedging to make sure i get something....BUT....as i said in my post...........LOOKING for an excellent under/over capper


 
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Posted: #6

The only thing concerning me about that under is the ball park. a lot of runs scored there. Licecum should not have a problem but you might be in slight trouble if SF starts hitting the ball.

BOL man

Just curious whats the rest of the parlay?

 
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Posted: #7

I played the Over..... Trend favors Over with Linecums on the mound..... Just my opinion..... BOL Paul

Head to Head

  • Giants are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Over is 5-0-1 in Lincecums last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

  • Over is 4-0-1 in Lincecums last 5 road starts.
  • Over is 4-0 in Lincecums last 4 starts as a road favorite of -151 to -200.
  • Over is 4-0 in Lincecums last 4 starts vs. National League West.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Lincecums last 5 starts as a road favorite.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Lincecums last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Lincecums last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Lincecums last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200.
  • Over is 8-2-1 in Lincecums last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Lincecums last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    •  
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    Posted: #8
     
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    Posted: #9
    Quote Originally Posted by STEELDRC:

    The only thing concerning me about that under is the ball park. a lot of runs scored there. Licecum should not have a problem but you might be in slight trouble if SF starts hitting the ball.

    BOL man ....look at the last play in todays thread steel....i posted the play

    Just curious whats the rest of the parlay?

     
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    Posted: #10
    out of a really hard day capping i can actually end the day with a profit if this comes inso im hoping i picked right
     
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    Posted: #11
    already bet over 7,5 there is no game you can trust arizonas bullpen at any price
     
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    Posted: #12
    If it is a decent return on a parlay why not have something small on the other side so that you at least get your initial stake back? That way you have a " free roll " on the total.
     
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    Posted: #13
    Quote Originally Posted by jphil1971:

    I played the Over..... Trend favors Over with Linecums on the mound..... Just my opinion..... BOL Paul

    Head to Head

    • Giants are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
    • Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.

      Over is 5-0-1 in Lincecums last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

    • Over is 4-0-1 in Lincecums last 5 road starts.
    • Over is 4-0 in Lincecums last 4 starts as a road favorite of -151 to -200.
    • Over is 4-0 in Lincecums last 4 starts vs. National League West.
    • Over is 4-0-1 in Lincecums last 5 starts as a road favorite.
    • Over is 4-0-1 in Lincecums last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
    • Over is 5-1-1 in Lincecums last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Lincecums last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200.
    • Over is 8-2-1 in Lincecums last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
    • Over is 4-1-1 in Lincecums last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
      • ............thanks jphil.....bol to you also!!!
       
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      Posted: #14
      Under    
       
      Prospect
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      Posted: #15

         Hope you hit your parlay!!!!!!     

       
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      Posted: #16
      Quote Originally Posted by jphil1971:

         Hope you hit your parlay!!!!!!     

      .....hope you followed!!!!!!!
       
       
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      Posted: #17
      Quote Originally Posted by Syddigs:

      Very tough to call. You have a great pitcher against an ordinary pitcher. It could be 3-0 or 12-2.

      If you look at the market the line has been bet over quite substantially. The total opened at 7.5 under -115 last night and is now 8 over -115. So it has been bet up a half run and 10 cents.

      What does that tell you?



      The market money was right so it was good that you were on the right side of the move and also cashed your ticket. the market moved higher by half a run and also 10 cents juice.

      The 'cappers don't always get it right. Give me overall market moves over a few 'cappers opinions any day.




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