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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Overthinking is hazardous to the bankroll

    diondimucci
    Pho-20
    leventis72
    ICAPSports
    Hulk_Hogan
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 1010
    Posts: 22
     
    diondimucci
    diondimucci
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2024 - 10:55 PM ET #1

    In a best of 3, it's 88% sweeps.

     

    Detroit +143

    Kansas city +135

    Ny Mets -110

    No interest in the last series

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    In a best of 3, it's 88% sweeps.

     

    Detroit +143

    Kansas city +135

    Ny Mets -110

    No interest in the last series

     

     
    diondimucci
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2024 - 10:57 PM ET #2

    Plus these are the better teams in current form.  

    Detroit and ny Mets 2 hottest team and Royale with Vinnie P back and Baltimore has not played well in Camden yards, 3-7 last 10

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    Plus these are the better teams in current form.  

    Detroit and ny Mets 2 hottest team and Royale with Vinnie P back and Baltimore has not played well in Camden yards, 3-7 last 10

     
    Pho-20
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2024 - 10:59 PM ET #3

    @diondimucci

     I’m on the same

    good luck tomorrow peace_5

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    @diondimucci

     I’m on the same

    good luck tomorrow peace_5

     
    leventis72
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2024 - 11:00 PM ET #4

    @diondimucci

     Appreciate the insight brother! peace_5

    @Leventis72_ on Twitter
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    @diondimucci

     Appreciate the insight brother! peace_5

     
    ICAPSports
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2024 - 11:18 PM ET #5

    Well overthinking is one thing that's hazardous to your MLB bankroll...and the other thing, is too many points being scored by the opposing teampeace_5

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    Well overthinking is one thing that's hazardous to your MLB bankroll...and the other thing, is too many points being scored by the opposing teampeace_5

     
    Hulk_Hogan
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2024 - 11:20 PM ET #6

    Let's bust out some alt RL's.

    Brawl nights I perform like Mike. Anyone Tyson, Jordan, Jackson.
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    Let's bust out some alt RL's.

     
    the1toturn2
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 7:09 AM ET #7

    Capping based on one angle or trend is worse

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    Capping based on one angle or trend is worse

     
    tvigilante2020
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:01 AM ET #8

    @diondimucci

     "In a best of 3, it's 88% sweeps."

    _______________________

    Had to fact check that....and it's true so far up to this point. Also interestingly enough, there's a website blog I read that explains the Math behind it as well. Two teams that look absolutely dead right now are the Braves and the Brewers. Braves were decimated by the doubleheader with the Mets (although it doesn't explain why the Mets won game 1 against the Brewers). But that comment brings me to my next point: One truism I always like to follow is, always bet against Milwaukee in the MLB playoffs....I couldn't even tell you who their ace is, or who the starting pitchers are? 

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    @diondimucci

     "In a best of 3, it's 88% sweeps."

    _______________________

    Had to fact check that....and it's true so far up to this point. Also interestingly enough, there's a website blog I read that explains the Math behind it as well. Two teams that look absolutely dead right now are the Braves and the Brewers. Braves were decimated by the doubleheader with the Mets (although it doesn't explain why the Mets won game 1 against the Brewers). But that comment brings me to my next point: One truism I always like to follow is, always bet against Milwaukee in the MLB playoffs....I couldn't even tell you who their ace is, or who the starting pitchers are? 

     
    camby700
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:20 AM ET #9

    Agreed

    Padres last one for me

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    Agreed

    Padres last one for me

     
    diondimucci
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:26 AM ET #10

    @the1toturn2

     Being a perpetual troll, is acknowledgement that your life sicks, and you're starving for attention. 

    How about posing a pick you creepy gtemlin?thumbs_down

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    @the1toturn2

     Being a perpetual troll, is acknowledgement that your life sicks, and you're starving for attention. 

    How about posing a pick you creepy gtemlin?thumbs_down

     
    diondimucci
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:34 AM ET #11

    Day after day these trolls just take take take.  They want everyone to stop and look at them even though they have nothing interesting or useful to offer.  They're no different than the derelict pushing a shopping cart on a city street, screaming at cars , just for someone to look at them and acknowledge their presence. an_light

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    Day after day these trolls just take take take.  They want everyone to stop and look at them even though they have nothing interesting or useful to offer.  They're no different than the derelict pushing a shopping cart on a city street, screaming at cars , just for someone to look at them and acknowledge their presence. an_light

     
    masteryoriented
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:44 AM ET #12

    @diondimucci

    Thanks bro. I'm with you. 

    Can you share that article about the 88% sweep percentage?

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    @diondimucci

    Thanks bro. I'm with you. 

    Can you share that article about the 88% sweep percentage?

     
    masteryoriented
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:46 AM ET #13

    @diondimucci

     

     
    To follow up on your bet, I'm taking:

    DET

    KC

    NYM

    SD

    All singles at ML.

     
    I placed a lesser bet on KC and NYM to each score over 3.5 in a parlay, hoping for a bit of luck.

     

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    @diondimucci

     

     
    To follow up on your bet, I'm taking:

    DET

    KC

    NYM

    SD

    All singles at ML.

     
    I placed a lesser bet on KC and NYM to each score over 3.5 in a parlay, hoping for a bit of luck.

     

     
    IntenseOperator
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:50 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by masteryoriented:

    @diondimucci Thanks bro. I'm with you. Can you share that article about the 88% sweep percentage?

    I’m sure Mr Plagiarism can.

    an_popcorn

    "Got 'em right where I want 'em, surrounded from the inside"
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    Quote Originally Posted by masteryoriented:

    @diondimucci Thanks bro. I'm with you. Can you share that article about the 88% sweep percentage?

    I’m sure Mr Plagiarism can.

    an_popcorn

     
    Jaserz
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 11:14 AM ET #15

    Good Luck!!

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    Good Luck!!

     
    diondimucci
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 11:22 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by masteryoriented:

    @diondimucci Thanks bro. I'm with you. Can you share that article about the 88% sweep percentage?

    There's no article per se , there were 8 best of 3 series the last 2 years and 7/8 sweeps =87.5% (88 rounded up)

    Again I disregarded the covid season which was 6/8 sweeps.

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    Quote Originally Posted by masteryoriented:

    @diondimucci Thanks bro. I'm with you. Can you share that article about the 88% sweep percentage?

    There's no article per se , there were 8 best of 3 series the last 2 years and 7/8 sweeps =87.5% (88 rounded up)

    Again I disregarded the covid season which was 6/8 sweeps.

     
    masteryoriented
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 9:59 PM ET #17

    @diondimucci

     

    All my bets are green so far. Honestly, the more I watch the Tigers and Mets, the more I feel like one of them could potentially reach the World Series. The Mets' pitching has really turned around, and it's high level, and their offense is great. The Tigers have a great manager, and they are scrappy. They remind me of the Moneyball A's.

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    @diondimucci

     

    All my bets are green so far. Honestly, the more I watch the Tigers and Mets, the more I feel like one of them could potentially reach the World Series. The Mets' pitching has really turned around, and it's high level, and their offense is great. The Tigers have a great manager, and they are scrappy. They remind me of the Moneyball A's.

     
    aron25
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:04 PM ET #18

    Now I see why he got boxed! 

     

    He's on a roll over in the box too.

     

    Banned for using a burning $ emoji. Lol. TRUMP 2024!!!
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    Now I see why he got boxed! 

     

    He's on a roll over in the box too.

     

     
    Mrgohard3
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:07 PM ET #19

    @diondimucci

     Sounds like tou learned from me lol

    Good luck to all as always!
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    @diondimucci

     Sounds like tou learned from me lol

     
    masteryoriented
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:18 PM ET #20

    Damn Mets... Damn. Why did they put themselves in this position? That was bad bullpen management late in the game. They should've had multiple arms warming up.

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    Damn Mets... Damn. Why did they put themselves in this position? That was bad bullpen management late in the game. They should've had multiple arms warming up.

     
    chicubs09
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:19 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

    Capping based on one angle or trend is worse
    Please share with us all your capping skills and what it takes to win consistently

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    Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

    Capping based on one angle or trend is worse
    Please share with us all your capping skills and what it takes to win consistently

     
     
    IntenseOperator
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2024 - 10:24 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by aron25:

    Now I see why he got boxed!    He's on a roll over in the box too.

    Its way of throwing a tantrum 

    It will continue daily self immolation. 

    The “looking at my dump” thread is prolly the most disturbing.

     

    "Got 'em right where I want 'em, surrounded from the inside"
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    Quote Originally Posted by aron25:

    Now I see why he got boxed!    He's on a roll over in the box too.

    Its way of throwing a tantrum 

    It will continue daily self immolation. 

    The “looking at my dump” thread is prolly the most disturbing.

     

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