Zach Davies seems to pitch down to lower winning percentage teams. For instance, he only lasted 4.1 innings in his last start giving up 3 runs at Miami. On August 25th he gave up 4 runs to Arizona and only lasted 4 innings. But in his last 3 starts against the Cubs and St.Louis he gave up only 0,1, or 2 runs. It's just a recent trend I noticed. So, I think the Padres will get a minimum of 3 runs off Davies, but could go as high as 6 or 7. The Padres can hit and one of their guys is on a decent hitting streak.
Garrett Richards is auditioning to hold a starting spot in the Padres rotation for 2020. He'd coming off Tommy John surgery and the Padres have him pegged as their #2 starter. I didn't think his stats were very impressive the last couple of years, but he used to pitch a high number of innings years ago. So, I'll assume the Padres coaching staff think he has the talent in order to stay competitive in games.
The Brewers are coming off a high energy series winning in St. Louis, where there should be little let down today. Ryan Braun , Grandall , and Moustakis, all were key clutch hitters in the St. Louis series. I have a hard time believing they'll wake up today and be just as focused.
Hadr got crushed yesterday. Yes, statistically he got a save, but he walks a batter in the bottom of the 9th and gives up a 2 run homer on an 0-2 pitch. Moving forward, it's going to be very dangerous to close with this guy because he only uses his 4 seam fastball, and his 2nd pitch is the slider which is the changeup.
If Hadr is used today it would be 3 days in a row.
Padres +145
Risk $437 to Win $633
Season Total +$437
....good luck to us 
....were going to need it, there still the Padres..
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