"The Good" --> Tarik Skubal (DET) Pick: DET (-1.5)
The Tigers are 6-1 in Skubal's last 7 HOME starts. All 6 wins covered the runline with a huge run differential in those victories (42 runs scored to 8 runs allowed). Paxton's last 3 AWAY losses failed to cover the LAD +1.5 RL (opponents ending up scoring 9+ runs in those losses). Of the Dodgers most recent 8 losses, they lost by 2+ runs in 7 of them.
"The Bad" --> Carlos Carrasco (CLE) Pick: TB (-0.5) F5
I know, I know. TB is just 1-6 covering the -0.5 RL in the first 5 innings @ TB in Bradley's 7 HOME starts. Probably the fact that he is so good, TB bats kinda slack off and wait until the later innings to turn it on. But they are facing a gas can in Carrasco (5.22 ERA). The only other time a pitcher with a 5.00+ ERA came to town, TB lit him up for 4 ER (Patrick Corbin) in the first 5 innings.
"The Ugly" --> OAK pitching vs. PHI bats Pick: PHI (-1.5)
10 of the last 11 OAK losses have not covered the OAK +1.5 RL. In fact, 9 of those 11 losses did not cover the OAK +2.5 RL, so if you can grab that alternate runline, consider taking it if you think PHI will win. Even the -1.5 RL is getting too juiced.
no worries, love that soundtrack!! 
Hang em high
TB RL F5
Rays 
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