Posted:
#1
3-0 yesterday 
The Good: Teams vs. Kremer (BAL) Pick: TB/BAL OVER 8.5
The OVER 8.5 is 7-2 in Kremer's HOME starts. The OVER 8.5 is 5-1 in TB's last 6 games when the O/U was set at 8+ runs. Baz shut down BAL in his first match-up, so I expect some regression this next time around.
The Bad: Valdez (HOU) after a QS shutout Pick: ARI/HOU Over 8
Valdez has a 7.88 ERA (16.0 IP) in his last three HOME games following a quality start shutout. All three of those starts went OVER 8. The OVER 8 is 7-0 in Pfaadt's last 7 starts.
The Ugly: Feltner (COL) + Montas (MIL) Pick: COL/MIL Over 8
The OVER 8 is 10-2 in the last 12 of the series @MIL, 8-2-2 in Feltner's starts since 4/1, and 8-2 in Montas's last 10 starts.
"It's not about the size of the parlay, it's about the size of the bet."
8
, good luck Friday.
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