Cincinnati Reds -127
The Key: This was my free play for Monday, and I'm sticking with it as I don't see yesterday's rainout changing anything. The Cubs have lost eight of 11 on the road, which comes as no surprise considering they are batting just .209 away from Wrigley. Samardzija has pitched well (1.53 ERA), but the Cubs have lost four of his five starts this season and are 1-8 in his last nine starts. They just haven't done a very good job of supporting the big right-hander. Samardzija has struggled against the Reds. He's 1-4 with an ERA of 4.20 in eight starts against them. Chicago is 1-6 in his last seven starts against the Reds and 19-49 in its last 68 overall versus Cincy. The Reds have won three of Simon's four starts while he's posted a 1.30 ERA. One of these wins came against the Cubs in a game where he allowed no earned on four hits in six innings. The Cubs are a pathetic 13-42 in their last 55 games versus a right-handed starter. Take the Reds.
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