Royals @ Twins

Question

anyone else like over 8.5 here? I got it for even money last night.

Sherms · Answer

anyone else like over 8.5 here? I got it for even money last night.

getrdonrite7 · Answer

shittt looks too easy but bit on it anyway. Hope we dont see 2 Cy youngs tonite

Max_Power · Answer

BOL

But, I have to say, at first I was thinking the same thing as both SP's have ERA approaching 5.
Here is the thing that has me going with the Under 8.5 here.
KC has only scored more than 2 runs 3 out of their last 12 games.
Vargas (KC) has not given up more than 2 earned runs in any of his past 4 games.
Hughes has gone 6+ innings in 9 of his last 10 starts.
MN has not been getting the clutch hitting their past 2 series and has not scored more than 3 runs in a game, if you take one inning in which BOS gave up 4 runs due to poor fielding and errors, and one inning that MIL (Lohse) blew up giving up 5 runs.

If I take only the last weeks into account, neither team is hitting well right now.
And overall both pitchers have actually been solid, despite inflated ERA.

The one downfall I could see to the under is that Vargas has been hit hard by MN twice already this year.

mjm1012 · Answer

GL

Max_Power · Answer

-----------------From Yesterday, with outcome--------------------
Here is the thing that has me going with the Under 8.5 here.
KC has only scored more than 2 runs 3 out of their last 12 games.
KC did get to 3 runs, but with back-to-back-to-back 2 out singles in the 8 for an insurance run.

Vargas (KC) has not given up more than 2 earned runs in any of his past 4 games.
Vargas went 6 innings and didn't give up a single run.

Hughes has gone 6+ innings in 9 of his last 10 starts.
Hughes went 7.2 innings only giving up 3 runs, another "quality start."

MN has not been getting the clutch hitting their past 2 series and has not scored more than 3 runs in a game, if you take one inning in which BOS gave up 4 runs due to poor fielding and errors, and one inning that MIL (Lohse) blew up giving up 5 runs.
MN did not have a run scoring play with RISP, and left bases loaded twice by hitting into a DP. 12 guys LOB.

UNDER 8.5
Total finished at 4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

(Not trying to rub in your under play, but instead I guess I am tooting my own horn for all the things going as the trends indicated above.)

TUESDAY Night Game
I don't really have a good read on Tues game KC @ MN. But I'd slightly lean MN (-111), simply because Young has been beat up his last 2 starts and May has pitch very well 2 out his last 3 starts. I'd also lean slightly over (O 8.5), as I think MN should be able to produce with RISP tonight and get back on track to where they were before the past 7 days.
With that being said, unless I find something else ... this game is a NO PLAY for me tonight.

BOL to all

Royals @ Twins

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