Carpenter-St.L. vs. Harden-CHC - 5 inning stat line
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gfoss59 |
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Posted 10 minutes ago
-- 1hl(Pitts)- 2aw(Ariz)- 0hw(CHC)- 0hp(Milw)- 2al(SF)- 0hw(Cinn) -
3al(Fla) - 3al(Cleve) - 0aw(KC) ...
3al(NYM) - 6hl(SF) - 0aw(Cinn) -
first 5 w-l-p: 5-6-1. road: 2-4-0. team 9-inning wlp: 6-6.
Harden-CHC -- first 5 -- last 5 outings -- 2hl(Minn) - 7hl(Cleve) - 2al(Det) - 1aw(Pitt) - 7(9)hl(Milw)
From Harden's line it seems highly likely he'll give up either 7 runs,
or 1-2 runs -- a coin toss. Against the weak-sticking Cardinals, who
knows?
Carpenter against the Cubs: Lee (.325), Ramirez
(2.84), and Soriano (.387) all hit well against him, though not for
much power: Those three have a combined 3 HR in 110 at bats against
him.
Chris Carpenter (R)
Previous Starts vs. Chi. Cubs
Carpenter's very good at day (1.2 ERA) but weak in his last three outings (4.7) -- again, a bit of a wash.
Harden did well against the Cards in a late April start against the
Cards this spring, the Cubs winning 10-3. But he's been bad this year
too.
The bats:
Cubs offense incredibly anemic in the last 10 games, even with
Ramirez's return -- 34 runs in the last 10 games. Shut down at home by
Atlanta, and before that mediocre righties like Suppan and Looper from
Milwaukee.
Cards, last 10, suddenly can't hit
right-handers either: A woeful 3.9 runs per game against righties, and
still even worse against left-handers.
St. Louis has a
mojo advantage from Cubs play at home of late, but maybe this ticks the
Cubs off, especially in a division-rival series. Cubs are still 8-3 in
their last 11 home games, despite the humbling back-to-back losses to
the Braves.
The Cubs and Cards bats, and the fact St. Louis hasn't seen much of Harden, makes us a little wary of the over-under.
This messy broth of facts
is enough to keep us from getting excited about the sides or the
over-under. Someone else may see someting compelling in these data and
if so, we'd be value to have it pointed out.
on my cubbs play. BOL 
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