Im only gonna keep track no real bets are going to be placed for at least a week or maybe never if it doesnt seem to have an advantage.
I noticed that as of June 1st only 26 out of the 94 games played were decided by 1 run
of those 26 only 6 games were in the american league.
So my system is simple bet every Amercian League game RL and ALT RL. To make money all you really need is for a couple dogs a day to win by 2.
Todays AMERICAN LEAGUE GAMES
FAVORITE IS RED
PHI @ BAL rl +165, alt rl +165
NYM @ NYY rl +140, alt rl +185
WAS @ BOS rl +155, alt rl +185
HOU @ CWS rl +140, alt rl +185
Cubs @ MIN rl +155, alt rl +175
LAD @ SEA rl +170, alt rl +175
Once again I will not be playing these games yet, This is to see how its gonna play out. For stat keeping sake I will be using 100 dollars for each bet on both the RL and ALT RL.
Lets see where this takes us.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Im only gonna keep track no real bets are going to be placed for at least a week or maybe never if it doesnt seem to have an advantage.
I noticed that as of June 1st only 26 out of the 94 games played were decided by 1 run
of those 26 only 6 games were in the american league.
So my system is simple bet every Amercian League game RL and ALT RL. To make money all you really need is for a couple dogs a day to win by 2.
Todays AMERICAN LEAGUE GAMES
FAVORITE IS RED
PHI @ BAL rl +165, alt rl +165
NYM @ NYY rl +140, alt rl +185
WAS @ BOS rl +155, alt rl +185
HOU @ CWS rl +140, alt rl +185
Cubs @ MIN rl +155, alt rl +175
LAD @ SEA rl +170, alt rl +175
Once again I will not be playing these games yet, This is to see how its gonna play out. For stat keeping sake I will be using 100 dollars for each bet on both the RL and ALT RL.
So, a weird trend is presenting itself in the last week.
You really think this will hold in the long-run?
I know what your saying if I had the time and energy to go back and check how many 1 run games there are in the AL i would, but im not gonna. everytime i look at scores i just feel like there are hardly any one run games so i decided to go back and check from June 1st
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Quote Originally Posted by Lar1212:
So, a weird trend is presenting itself in the last week.
You really think this will hold in the long-run?
I know what your saying if I had the time and energy to go back and check how many 1 run games there are in the AL i would, but im not gonna. everytime i look at scores i just feel like there are hardly any one run games so i decided to go back and check from June 1st
i dont have the site reference, but i read some gambling articles that said on average about 27% of all games are decided by 1 run (i have no clue the breakdown of american league vs NL)
if you even lower that to say 25%, 1 out of 4 games
so say game 1 is a 1 run game....................you lose $200 other 3 games are 2+ run games so you need to average a money line hit of +167 for those other 3 games to make $1 (and thats with the lower % of 1 run games)
dont let others turn you off from keeping track of this, i would love to see the results after a few weeks.
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i dont have the site reference, but i read some gambling articles that said on average about 27% of all games are decided by 1 run (i have no clue the breakdown of american league vs NL)
if you even lower that to say 25%, 1 out of 4 games
so say game 1 is a 1 run game....................you lose $200 other 3 games are 2+ run games so you need to average a money line hit of +167 for those other 3 games to make $1 (and thats with the lower % of 1 run games)
dont let others turn you off from keeping track of this, i would love to see the results after a few weeks.
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