Note: Advanced stats from Baseball Savant play an important role in my picks.
Starting relatively new here. First off, there are some very good plays today. Likely more than I list...but I'm sticking with my very best.
Pirates @ Rays (7:10 PM)
- Inning 1, Under .5 Runs @ -134 (2u)
Angle: O/U is already low at 7 and obviously neither offense is potent. Keller has never faced the Rays (advantage) & has limited hard
contact. Springs is a stud, limits hard contact, & retains a good resume against the Pirates batters. Pirates are also bottom 5 in 1st inning runs.
Rockies @ Twins (8:10 PM)
- Twins, Alt RL -1 @ -121 (2u)
Angle: German Marquez is 
. He allows a lot of hard contact and barrels. Bundy is in decent form, limits hard contact, and the Twins are a powerhouse of a lineup, at home, which suits the matchup very well. Further, the Rockies bullpen is also 
. I just wish Buxton was in and I'd
make this a *large* play but...we'll stay smart. -1 is just to be safe.
Blue Jays @ Brewers (8:10 PM)
- Blue Jays, F5 @ -159 (2u)
Angle: Massive pitching advantage by the better, hotter team. Nothing else to say.
Mariners @ Angels (9:38 PM)
- Angels, ML @ -152 (3u)
Angle: Ty France is out, meaning this Mariners team that almost got no-hit yesterday is facing solid pitching and a hot-hitting lineup
whilst having a trash can on their own mound. Further, the Mariners used up the arms of some good relievers vs. the A's. This is my play of the day.
Reds @ Giants (10:10 PM)
- Inning 2 or 3 (wherever the weak part of the lineup is), Under .5 Runs @ ~ -130 (1u)
Angle: Weak part of the lineup vs. good-great pitching is the simple reasoning here.
Good luck with them all.
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