It's make or break for Toronto Blue Jays who embark on a ten game road swing that will see the club play four in Oakland, three in Anaheim and three in Tampa. Jays have had success away from the friendly confines of Rogers Center posting a 22-18 record but are just 3-7 the past ten on the road. Opening the series in Oakland with Dickey (6-7, 4.24 ERA) the Jays have a tough one. The knuckler has lost three straight surrendering 6 long-ball, 12 runs over 20 1/3 innings of work and heads to the mound 1-5 on the road with Jays 1-6 over his seven starts. Stroman (4-2, 4.01 ERA) in GM2 Toronto has a shot as the right-hander has allowed just three earned runs over his last two starts and the hurler has surrendered 2 or less in five of his six since moving into the starting rotation. Tough-luck Burhrle (10-5, 2.50 ERA) gets the call in GM3. The lefty is winless over his last five outings, but does have a 3.44 ERA over that stretch. Those choosing to side with Toronto can take comfort in knowing Jays are 2-0 vs A's w/Buehrle. In the finale, Hutchison (6-6, 3.81 ERA) off his best outing of the season hurling 7 innings of 1 run ball in a win over Brewers tries for a repeat performance. Hutchison splits make him an interesting choice, Jays are just 2-5 at home with the righty but shine on the road when he takes the ball posting a 7-2 mark.
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It's make or break for Toronto Blue Jays who embark on a ten game road swing that will see the club play four in Oakland, three in Anaheim and three in Tampa. Jays have had success away from the friendly confines of Rogers Center posting a 22-18 record but are just 3-7 the past ten on the road. Opening the series in Oakland with Dickey (6-7, 4.24 ERA) the Jays have a tough one. The knuckler has lost three straight surrendering 6 long-ball, 12 runs over 20 1/3 innings of work and heads to the mound 1-5 on the road with Jays 1-6 over his seven starts. Stroman (4-2, 4.01 ERA) in GM2 Toronto has a shot as the right-hander has allowed just three earned runs over his last two starts and the hurler has surrendered 2 or less in five of his six since moving into the starting rotation. Tough-luck Burhrle (10-5, 2.50 ERA) gets the call in GM3. The lefty is winless over his last five outings, but does have a 3.44 ERA over that stretch. Those choosing to side with Toronto can take comfort in knowing Jays are 2-0 vs A's w/Buehrle. In the finale, Hutchison (6-6, 3.81 ERA) off his best outing of the season hurling 7 innings of 1 run ball in a win over Brewers tries for a repeat performance. Hutchison splits make him an interesting choice, Jays are just 2-5 at home with the righty but shine on the road when he takes the ball posting a 7-2 mark.
Tanaka starts for the Yankees and has lost his last 2. Hughes starts for the Twin against his old team. He went 8 innings and gave up 2 earned runs last month against them. Tanaka will take advantage of the injuries in the Twins line-up. This will be a low scoring game.
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Yankees vs. Twins Play: Under 7
Tanaka starts for the Yankees and has lost his last 2. Hughes starts for the Twin against his old team. He went 8 innings and gave up 2 earned runs last month against them. Tanaka will take advantage of the injuries in the Twins line-up. This will be a low scoring game.
St. Louis is getting it together, with the defending champs playing great defense with strong pitching the last month. The Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. They face lefty Madison Bumgarner and the Giants are 1-3 his last four starts. Bumgarner took the loss on Friday facing the Reds as he saw his seasonal record fall to 9-5, giving up five runs on nine hits over six innings pitched. The Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 home games and Bumgarer is 3-4 with a 4.94 ERA at home this season. The Cardinals have young hurler Carlos Martinez going, a great strikeout pitcher and the team is 3-0 his last three starts. Martinez threw 4.1 innings on Friday against the Dodgers, giving up one earned run and three walks on six hits while striking out four batters.
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St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants
St. Louis is getting it together, with the defending champs playing great defense with strong pitching the last month. The Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. They face lefty Madison Bumgarner and the Giants are 1-3 his last four starts. Bumgarner took the loss on Friday facing the Reds as he saw his seasonal record fall to 9-5, giving up five runs on nine hits over six innings pitched. The Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 home games and Bumgarer is 3-4 with a 4.94 ERA at home this season. The Cardinals have young hurler Carlos Martinez going, a great strikeout pitcher and the team is 3-0 his last three starts. Martinez threw 4.1 innings on Friday against the Dodgers, giving up one earned run and three walks on six hits while striking out four batters.
The Dodgers fit a nice 88% system tonight that applies to opening game road favorites with a total of 10 or more that are off a home favored loss and scored 4 or less runs, and are taking on a teams, like the Rockies, that are off a road dog loss. The Dodgers have won 6 straight as a road favorites off a home loss and 8 of 9 on the road vs leftys, which is what they will see tonight in F. Morales. Greinke goes for the Dodgers and he has a solid 2.87 road era. Morales for Colorado has a mediocre 5.55 home era and a 7/87 era over his last 3 starts. Look for the Dodgers to win the opener tonight.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
The Dodgers fit a nice 88% system tonight that applies to opening game road favorites with a total of 10 or more that are off a home favored loss and scored 4 or less runs, and are taking on a teams, like the Rockies, that are off a road dog loss. The Dodgers have won 6 straight as a road favorites off a home loss and 8 of 9 on the road vs leftys, which is what they will see tonight in F. Morales. Greinke goes for the Dodgers and he has a solid 2.87 road era. Morales for Colorado has a mediocre 5.55 home era and a 7/87 era over his last 3 starts. Look for the Dodgers to win the opener tonight.
The Rangers trot their ace out to the hill today and I think that they?re definitely worth the price of admission in this spot. Texas will have Japanese born right-hander Yu Darvish (8-4, 2.42 ERA) as its? starter; Darvish bounced back after some forgettable starts to toss eight shutout innings in a 5-0 win over Minnesota last time out: "I thought he was Yu Darvish again," assessed Texas manager Ron Washington after the dominating performance in which his pitcher struck out 10 batters. Darvish is 4-2 with a 3.18 ERA in seven starts against the Orioles and earned a win while giving up just two runs and striking out seven over 6 2/3?s innings in his last start against them. Baltimore counters with Wei-Yin Chen (7-3, 4.19 ERA); Chen allowed five earned runs over 3 1/3 innings in a loss to the Rays on Saturday, it was the shortest start of his career. Note that Chen has given up three runs or more in three straight starts. The Rangers are sensing the urgency to get back with a win here after yesterday?s loss pushed their losing streak to four games, so I think Darvish is worth it in this matchup. How about you?!
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Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles
The Rangers trot their ace out to the hill today and I think that they?re definitely worth the price of admission in this spot. Texas will have Japanese born right-hander Yu Darvish (8-4, 2.42 ERA) as its? starter; Darvish bounced back after some forgettable starts to toss eight shutout innings in a 5-0 win over Minnesota last time out: "I thought he was Yu Darvish again," assessed Texas manager Ron Washington after the dominating performance in which his pitcher struck out 10 batters. Darvish is 4-2 with a 3.18 ERA in seven starts against the Orioles and earned a win while giving up just two runs and striking out seven over 6 2/3?s innings in his last start against them. Baltimore counters with Wei-Yin Chen (7-3, 4.19 ERA); Chen allowed five earned runs over 3 1/3 innings in a loss to the Rays on Saturday, it was the shortest start of his career. Note that Chen has given up three runs or more in three straight starts. The Rangers are sensing the urgency to get back with a win here after yesterday?s loss pushed their losing streak to four games, so I think Darvish is worth it in this matchup. How about you?!
There are two versions of the 2014 Texas Rangers. The one we see most of the time is one of the weakest teams in the game. Texas has been downright terrible when anyone not named Yu Darvish takes the mound. But when Darvish starts, it’s a totally different team. The Rangers play with focus and energy and look like a solid overall entry when Darvish throws. The numbers tell the story. Texas is 11-4 when Darvish throws. They’re a woeful 26-43 when he doesn’t.
Darvish is going tonight as the Rangers conclude their series with the Orioles. Wei-Yin Chen will toss for the home team, and I think you’ll see support for the home team based on Chen’s success against Texas. He’s 3-0, 1.29 against Texas and Chen also owns better stats at home as opposed to on the road. Plus, it’s not that tough to make a case for the team with the substantially superior record being installed as a home dog. I’ll be honest, that’s a bit of a red flag in a sense, as there’s no question this line is all about the starting pitchers.
But there is one other set of situational stats that does point to the road team tonight. The Rangers have been their most productive facing lefties on the road, where they’re putting up a very impressive 6.1 runs per nine innings. It’s actually a strange stat line, as they haven’t been nearly as potent at home, which has to stand out as a bit peculiar. But regardless of the site, the fact remains the Rangers are in their best offensive situation.
The Orioles also have some unusual offensive stats, as for whatever reason they haven’t hit well at home. The good news for the Birds is their pitching has been close to half a run better at home than when traveling. But if you want to know why Baltimore has been better on the road than at home this season, all you need to do is check out the offense.
In spite of Chen’s nifty numbers against Texas, I can see him having trouble with this lineup tonight, and I’ll be happy to bank on the talented Darvish to do his thing. He had a brief pothole for a couple of starts, but all was well with Yu last time out and I will be surprised if he doesn’t deliver a good start this evening. The price isn’t ideal, but I’ll be siding with the Rangers to avoid the series sweep tonight.
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TEXAS RANGERS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES
There are two versions of the 2014 Texas Rangers. The one we see most of the time is one of the weakest teams in the game. Texas has been downright terrible when anyone not named Yu Darvish takes the mound. But when Darvish starts, it’s a totally different team. The Rangers play with focus and energy and look like a solid overall entry when Darvish throws. The numbers tell the story. Texas is 11-4 when Darvish throws. They’re a woeful 26-43 when he doesn’t.
Darvish is going tonight as the Rangers conclude their series with the Orioles. Wei-Yin Chen will toss for the home team, and I think you’ll see support for the home team based on Chen’s success against Texas. He’s 3-0, 1.29 against Texas and Chen also owns better stats at home as opposed to on the road. Plus, it’s not that tough to make a case for the team with the substantially superior record being installed as a home dog. I’ll be honest, that’s a bit of a red flag in a sense, as there’s no question this line is all about the starting pitchers.
But there is one other set of situational stats that does point to the road team tonight. The Rangers have been their most productive facing lefties on the road, where they’re putting up a very impressive 6.1 runs per nine innings. It’s actually a strange stat line, as they haven’t been nearly as potent at home, which has to stand out as a bit peculiar. But regardless of the site, the fact remains the Rangers are in their best offensive situation.
The Orioles also have some unusual offensive stats, as for whatever reason they haven’t hit well at home. The good news for the Birds is their pitching has been close to half a run better at home than when traveling. But if you want to know why Baltimore has been better on the road than at home this season, all you need to do is check out the offense.
In spite of Chen’s nifty numbers against Texas, I can see him having trouble with this lineup tonight, and I’ll be happy to bank on the talented Darvish to do his thing. He had a brief pothole for a couple of starts, but all was well with Yu last time out and I will be surprised if he doesn’t deliver a good start this evening. The price isn’t ideal, but I’ll be siding with the Rangers to avoid the series sweep tonight.
Previous series recap: Both these teams are coming off impressive sweeps, as the Rays took three games from the Yankees on the road, while the Tigers took care of the AL West-leading A’s at home in three games. Tampa Bay no longer owns the worst record in baseball as the Rays are currently 6-1 on their road trip, as each of the last four wins have come in the favorite role.
What to watch for: Since dropping three straight to the Royals at home in mid-June, the Tigers are rolling through an 11-2 stretch the last 13 contests. Detroit has won six of Scherzer’s seven starts at Comerica Park this season, while the Rays have dropped three of Bedard’s past four outings on the highway.
Previous series recap: Both these teams are coming off impressive sweeps, as the Rays took three games from the Yankees on the road, while the Tigers took care of the AL West-leading A’s at home in three games. Tampa Bay no longer owns the worst record in baseball as the Rays are currently 6-1 on their road trip, as each of the last four wins have come in the favorite role.
What to watch for: Since dropping three straight to the Royals at home in mid-June, the Tigers are rolling through an 11-2 stretch the last 13 contests. Detroit has won six of Scherzer’s seven starts at Comerica Park this season, while the Rays have dropped three of Bedard’s past four outings on the highway.
Previous series recap: The Yankees hit the road after suffering their fifth straight defeat on Wednesday, a 6-3 setback to the Rays at home. In four losses during this funk, New York has scored three runs or less, while going on a 5-1-1 run to the ‘under’ in the last seven games overall. The Twins were blanked in the series finale by the Royals on Wednesday, 4-0 to drop two of three games to Kansas City, as Minnesota has stumbled to a 2-7 mark in the past nine contests.
What to watch for: Following a 12-2 record in his first 14 starts, the Yankees have lost the last two outings made by Tanaka, as the offense has plated just one run in those defeats. The Twins have won 10 of Hughes’ previous 13 outings, including a 7-2 victory against his former squad in the Bronx last month as a +120 underdog.
Previous series recap: The Yankees hit the road after suffering their fifth straight defeat on Wednesday, a 6-3 setback to the Rays at home. In four losses during this funk, New York has scored three runs or less, while going on a 5-1-1 run to the ‘under’ in the last seven games overall. The Twins were blanked in the series finale by the Royals on Wednesday, 4-0 to drop two of three games to Kansas City, as Minnesota has stumbled to a 2-7 mark in the past nine contests.
What to watch for: Following a 12-2 record in his first 14 starts, the Yankees have lost the last two outings made by Tanaka, as the offense has plated just one run in those defeats. The Twins have won 10 of Hughes’ previous 13 outings, including a 7-2 victory against his former squad in the Bronx last month as a +120 underdog.
Previous series recap: The Dodgers fell in the final two games to the Indians, capped off by a 5-4 setback on Thursday as -140 favorites. The Rockies stumble home after a dreadful 1-6 road trip at Milwaukee and Washington, as Colorado squandered a 3-0 lead in a 4-3 defeat to the Nationals last night as +165 underdogs.
What to watch for: Los Angeles has lost each of the last four road starts made by Greinke, including a 5-4 loss at Coors Field last month in extra innings. The Dodgers have won six straight games against left-handed starting pitchers dating back to June 9, while capturing five of their last seven road series openers. Since sweeping the Giants on the highway two weeks ago, the Rockies have limped to a 2-14 mark in the past 16 contests, including a 1-5 mark at home.
Previous series recap: The Dodgers fell in the final two games to the Indians, capped off by a 5-4 setback on Thursday as -140 favorites. The Rockies stumble home after a dreadful 1-6 road trip at Milwaukee and Washington, as Colorado squandered a 3-0 lead in a 4-3 defeat to the Nationals last night as +165 underdogs.
What to watch for: Los Angeles has lost each of the last four road starts made by Greinke, including a 5-4 loss at Coors Field last month in extra innings. The Dodgers have won six straight games against left-handed starting pitchers dating back to June 9, while capturing five of their last seven road series openers. Since sweeping the Giants on the highway two weeks ago, the Rockies have limped to a 2-14 mark in the past 16 contests, including a 1-5 mark at home.
Previous series recap: The Blue Jays walked-off past the Brewers on Wednesday, 7-4 to complete a mini two-game sweep of the Brewers, while finishing off their homestand at 5-4. The A’s return to the Bay Area after an up-and-down road trip, which concluded by getting swept at Detroit in three games, as the offense managed to score just seven runs in the series.
What to watch for: Toronto swept Oakland at home the last time these teams squared off in late May, as all three games finished ‘under’ the total. Dickey has lost each of his last three trips to the mound for Toronto, as the Jays own a dreadful 1-6 record in his seven road outings. Gray’s numbers have dipped following a fast start, as the righty allowed five earned runs in five innings in his past outing at Miami, but the A’s picked up the victory in extra innings as a -155 favorite.
Previous series recap: The Blue Jays walked-off past the Brewers on Wednesday, 7-4 to complete a mini two-game sweep of the Brewers, while finishing off their homestand at 5-4. The A’s return to the Bay Area after an up-and-down road trip, which concluded by getting swept at Detroit in three games, as the offense managed to score just seven runs in the series.
What to watch for: Toronto swept Oakland at home the last time these teams squared off in late May, as all three games finished ‘under’ the total. Dickey has lost each of his last three trips to the mound for Toronto, as the Jays own a dreadful 1-6 record in his seven road outings. Gray’s numbers have dipped following a fast start, as the righty allowed five earned runs in five innings in his past outing at Miami, but the A’s picked up the victory in extra innings as a -155 favorite.
Previous series recap: The Angels failed to pull off the sweep of the White Sox last night, falling 3-2 as a –155 favorite, while finishing off their road trip at 3-3. The Astros stubbed their toe in a three-game sweep at the hands of the streaking Mariners, as Houston wrapped up its homestand at 3-6, while allowing 28 runs in the three losses to Seattle.
What to watch for: Houston has won just two of Oberholtzer’s 10 starts this season, but the southpaw did pick up a victory as a +170 ‘dog at Los Angeles last August. The Angels are riding a six-game winning streak at home after sweeping the Twins and Rangers on their previous homestand, but tonight’s number (-170) is the highest price Shoemaker has been listed at in nine career starts.
Previous series recap: The Angels failed to pull off the sweep of the White Sox last night, falling 3-2 as a –155 favorite, while finishing off their road trip at 3-3. The Astros stubbed their toe in a three-game sweep at the hands of the streaking Mariners, as Houston wrapped up its homestand at 3-6, while allowing 28 runs in the three losses to Seattle.
What to watch for: Houston has won just two of Oberholtzer’s 10 starts this season, but the southpaw did pick up a victory as a +170 ‘dog at Los Angeles last August. The Angels are riding a six-game winning streak at home after sweeping the Twins and Rangers on their previous homestand, but tonight’s number (-170) is the highest price Shoemaker has been listed at in nine career starts.
LAS VEGAS -- The Pittsburgh Pirates have won nine of their past 11 games and now find themselves a season-best four games above .500 and six games out of first place. Maybe more importantly for the moment, they are only two games out of the final wild-card spot. Las Vegas has taken notice of the Bucs righting the ship and have dropped their World Series odds to win from 40-to-1 down to 30-to-1 in recent days.
The addition of rookie Gregory Polanco has certainly helped, but the biggest reason for Pittsburgh's recent resurgence has been pitching. The Pirates have been getting it in all areas and have posted a 2.25 ERA while winning five of their first six games on their current 10-game homestand. It also helps that they have played a few of the worst teams in baseball. They took four of six on their last road trip against the Cubs and Rays before their current homestand against the Mets and Diamondbacks.
Arizona (35-51) has the worst record in baseball, and with a win tonight the Pirates can complete their first sweep of the Dbacks since 2010. Based on the way Arizona starter Brandon McCarthy (2-10, 5.11 ERA) has pitched this season, the Bucs' chances look pretty good at getting the job done. In 17 McCarthy starts, Arizona has lost 14 times with all three of the wins coming against the Padres. His -12.7 units of profit for bettors this season is the worst in baseball.
Pittsburgh's Vance Worley has made the most of his opportunity since being called up from the minors. He's won his last two starts and has allowed only four runs total while pitching into the seventh inning of all three starts. He should continue his solid run against an Arizona squad that has scored only 10 runs in its past six games, all of which have stayed UNDER the total. The stellar pitching by Pittsburgh has kept six of its last seven games UNDER the total as well.
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Pirates at Diamondbacks
LAS VEGAS -- The Pittsburgh Pirates have won nine of their past 11 games and now find themselves a season-best four games above .500 and six games out of first place. Maybe more importantly for the moment, they are only two games out of the final wild-card spot. Las Vegas has taken notice of the Bucs righting the ship and have dropped their World Series odds to win from 40-to-1 down to 30-to-1 in recent days.
The addition of rookie Gregory Polanco has certainly helped, but the biggest reason for Pittsburgh's recent resurgence has been pitching. The Pirates have been getting it in all areas and have posted a 2.25 ERA while winning five of their first six games on their current 10-game homestand. It also helps that they have played a few of the worst teams in baseball. They took four of six on their last road trip against the Cubs and Rays before their current homestand against the Mets and Diamondbacks.
Arizona (35-51) has the worst record in baseball, and with a win tonight the Pirates can complete their first sweep of the Dbacks since 2010. Based on the way Arizona starter Brandon McCarthy (2-10, 5.11 ERA) has pitched this season, the Bucs' chances look pretty good at getting the job done. In 17 McCarthy starts, Arizona has lost 14 times with all three of the wins coming against the Padres. His -12.7 units of profit for bettors this season is the worst in baseball.
Pittsburgh's Vance Worley has made the most of his opportunity since being called up from the minors. He's won his last two starts and has allowed only four runs total while pitching into the seventh inning of all three starts. He should continue his solid run against an Arizona squad that has scored only 10 runs in its past six games, all of which have stayed UNDER the total. The stellar pitching by Pittsburgh has kept six of its last seven games UNDER the total as well.
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