1-2 yesterday, losing about a quarter of a unit. Good win with San Diego. Three for today, still considering the Astros.....
South Siders +138 Not sold on Josh Johnson at all right now.....
Diamondbacks +113 I'm taking the better team......pitching is probably about even both can be good and both can be less than good. I think the D'backs have an advantage offensively.
Kansas City +172 Hate going against Medlen and the very hot Atlanta Braves but I think the number justifies it. Guthrie has been excellent with KC. Both teams have excellent bullpens.......game should be a close, low-scoring affair.
Good luck all!
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Record: 25-28 +2.23 units
1-2 yesterday, losing about a quarter of a unit. Good win with San Diego. Three for today, still considering the Astros.....
South Siders +138 Not sold on Josh Johnson at all right now.....
Diamondbacks +113 I'm taking the better team......pitching is probably about even both can be good and both can be less than good. I think the D'backs have an advantage offensively.
Kansas City +172 Hate going against Medlen and the very hot Atlanta Braves but I think the number justifies it. Guthrie has been excellent with KC. Both teams have excellent bullpens.......game should be a close, low-scoring affair.
a wannabe? mmac's plays are a must read DAILY! get lost and take your garbage somewhere else
he'll go 2-1. Not a bad percentage at all. But his rationale for the royals ML is terrible....
"Hate going against Medlen and the very hot Atlanta Braves but I think the number justifies it." so that means if the price was lower (say, +145) you wouldn't be fading a red hot team with its top (at worst #2) pitcher going at home? Cool story bro.
0
Quote Originally Posted by BIG_E711:
a wannabe? mmac's plays are a must read DAILY! get lost and take your garbage somewhere else
he'll go 2-1. Not a bad percentage at all. But his rationale for the royals ML is terrible....
"Hate going against Medlen and the very hot Atlanta Braves but I think the number justifies it." so that means if the price was lower (say, +145) you wouldn't be fading a red hot team with its top (at worst #2) pitcher going at home? Cool story bro.
he'll go 2-1. Not a bad percentage at all. But his rationale for the royals ML is terrible....
"Hate going against Medlen and the very hot Atlanta Braves but I think the number justifies it." so that means if the price was lower (say, +145) you wouldn't be fading a red hot team with its top (at worst #2) pitcher going at home? Cool story bro.
If you don't understand the rationale you really should stop betting. He is taking a strictly mathematical approach and feels that the Royals have a better shot a winning the game than the odds dictate and is taking a mathematical gamble. There are TONS of people that take the same approach. To answer your question the answer is YES if the odds were different he would not take this gamble.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Minesweeper:
he'll go 2-1. Not a bad percentage at all. But his rationale for the royals ML is terrible....
"Hate going against Medlen and the very hot Atlanta Braves but I think the number justifies it." so that means if the price was lower (say, +145) you wouldn't be fading a red hot team with its top (at worst #2) pitcher going at home? Cool story bro.
If you don't understand the rationale you really should stop betting. He is taking a strictly mathematical approach and feels that the Royals have a better shot a winning the game than the odds dictate and is taking a mathematical gamble. There are TONS of people that take the same approach. To answer your question the answer is YES if the odds were different he would not take this gamble.
he'll go 2-1. Not a bad percentage at all. But his rationale for the royals ML is terrible....
"Hate going against Medlen and the very hot Atlanta Braves but I think the number justifies it." so that means if the price was lower (say, +145) you wouldn't be fading a red hot team with its top (at worst #2) pitcher going at home? Cool story bro.
You're right that I wouldn't play KC at +145.......didn't think that was too hard a concept to grasp.
And you're right that this play will probably lose, it will lose more often than it will win, another concept that isn't too hard to grasp.
But, I assume the Braves and Medlen will both lose games this year......maybe I step in garbage and today's the day. Guthrie has very solid numbers since he joined KC.........He has the ability to keep the game close and in a close game anything can happen and by betting KC, I only need the ball to bounce my way 37% of the time.......maybe it does, maybe it doesn't.
Baseball is a marathon and not a sprint.......I'm going to lose a lot of games this year. I don't have a crystal ball and don't know which ones will win and which ones will lose prior to the game so I try to give myself an advantage in every game I play......hopefully it works out over the course of a season. But I don't obsess over whether or not I win any particular game, that's just foolish.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Minesweeper:
he'll go 2-1. Not a bad percentage at all. But his rationale for the royals ML is terrible....
"Hate going against Medlen and the very hot Atlanta Braves but I think the number justifies it." so that means if the price was lower (say, +145) you wouldn't be fading a red hot team with its top (at worst #2) pitcher going at home? Cool story bro.
You're right that I wouldn't play KC at +145.......didn't think that was too hard a concept to grasp.
And you're right that this play will probably lose, it will lose more often than it will win, another concept that isn't too hard to grasp.
But, I assume the Braves and Medlen will both lose games this year......maybe I step in garbage and today's the day. Guthrie has very solid numbers since he joined KC.........He has the ability to keep the game close and in a close game anything can happen and by betting KC, I only need the ball to bounce my way 37% of the time.......maybe it does, maybe it doesn't.
Baseball is a marathon and not a sprint.......I'm going to lose a lot of games this year. I don't have a crystal ball and don't know which ones will win and which ones will lose prior to the game so I try to give myself an advantage in every game I play......hopefully it works out over the course of a season. But I don't obsess over whether or not I win any particular game, that's just foolish.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Leaning Atlanta RL.
Hot Forum Topics
