Tuesdays MLB Tips

The Rockies head to Chicago tonight following a 5-2 loss to the Dodgers yesterday and face a Cubs team that is 21-5 in Jon Lester’s last 26 starts versus a team that scored 2 runs or less in its previous game.

• The total has gone UNDER in six of the Rockies’ last eight games on the road vs the Cubs.
• The Rockies are 15-2 SU in Kyle Freeland’s last 17 starts.
• The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Cubs’ last 14 games at home (avg. combined score: 6.07).

good stuff

National League
Rockies (91-72) @ Cubs (95-68)
Freeland is 6-0, 2.66 in his last seven starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11. He lost 3-2 to the Cubs April 30 in Wrigley, giving up three runs in 7 IP. Team in his starts: 23-10, 10-8 road
5-inning record: 17-10-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-33

Lester is 3-0, 1.50 in his last three starts; over is 12-5 in his last 17. He allowed two runs in 5.2 IP vs Colorado April 30, a game Cubs later won 3-2. Team in his starts: 24-8, 12-5 home
5-inning record: 18-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-32

Colorado won nine of its last 11 games, including three of last four on road. Rockies played at home Sunday, in LA yesterday. Cubs won four of their last six games, all at home. These teams split six games this year, with road team going 2-1 in other team’s ballpark.

Cubs are in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won the World Series two years ago. Colorado lost Wild Card game LY, their first playoffs appearance since 2009.

Colorado is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Colorado is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 15 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games
Chi Cubs is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chi Cubs's last 14 games at home
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 12 games when playing Colorado
Chi Cubs is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
Chi Cubs is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado

COLORADO is 259-457 (-81.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-23 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LESTER is 24-8 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 44-16 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 91-72 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 26-17 (+9.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
COLORADO is 44-38 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 66-45 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 61-47 (+19.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 53-39 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 39-24 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
FREELAND is 23-10 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 19-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

FREELAND is 15-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 14-7 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1790-1830 (-265.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-37 (-16.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 957-854 (-156.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-27 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 4-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-40 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 211-243 (-61.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-3 (+1.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
KYLE FREELAND vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
FREELAND is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
JON LESTER vs. COLORADO since 1997
LESTER is 2-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 1.062.
His team's record is 3-3 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-0. (+6.2 units)

When Cubs are home - During night game - Playing on Tuesday (109-117 SU)(99-117-10 OU)

Play Against
Any team (COL)
good NL offensive team (>=4.7 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), after scoring 2 runs or less

156-104 over the last 5 seasons.
60.0% (56.4 units)

Thank You