Wednesday

3-5-0 yesterday.. I'm liking how close I am, not resulting in winners, but Rocks-O's over was right there as was Washington ML.  A loss is a loss, but I'm drawing a parallel to line drive rate for hitters and those ultimately turning into doubles to the gap.

Miami -1/2 first five (180 units to win 150)

Eflin off a CG shutout, so it's a no brainer to try and exploit him in some way.  I don't love the full game numbers and the heavy juice to the under on F5 and game totals has me spooked.  I'll go Fish F5 and invest he isn't sharp out of the gates this afternoon

Washington +105 (160 units to win 168)

Strasburg off a shelling and Carrasco off 0 earned runs.  It's not an auto play, but the + money makes it real close.

San Diego TT over 4 (120 units to win 100)
San Diego-Toronto over 10 (100 units to win 110)

The Padres won't stop hitting home runs and RA Dickey won't stop conceding them.  If the books continue to post overs at -125 or less, I'll continue to play them. 

I'd play the Padres except I don't think Perdomo can handle this lineup.  The over juiced at + money is only because they raised it up to 10 vs. 9.5 yesterday.  If Pads are getting 5, which I think they will, this over should see two touchdowns

Detroit-Boston under 10 (140 units to win 140)

Fulmer has been so good and ERod has been inconsistent at best.  The former is off one of his worst outings of the season, so I'd expect him to get back to form.  The latter is pitching for a spot in the rotation and while this may lead him to overthink and overthrow, he's shown some composure in recent starts.  I don't think the Tigers' bats are formidable enough to rattle the young southpaw. 

Relax - thanks buddy, finally. Still a whole night of games to fumble with the profits

Tampa in game +225 (80 units to win 180)

Rays down 1-0 top 3rd; McCarthy pitch count is high and he is coming off a bum leg.