Yup, 2 pitchers who aren't doing so hot and 2 surging offenses aided by 11 mph wind heading to right center field with temps in the 70s. Should be a recipe for a lot of points IMO.
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Quote Originally Posted by UnderDogs1979:
It's all about the wind.
Yup, 2 pitchers who aren't doing so hot and 2 surging offenses aided by 11 mph wind heading to right center field with temps in the 70s. Should be a recipe for a lot of points IMO.
Wind is blowing out to center field at 11 mph. I was leaning under initially as both pitchers have shown signs of life, but just not sure now. Balls can fly out of Wrigley... thoughts?
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Wind is blowing out to center field at 11 mph. I was leaning under initially as both pitchers have shown signs of life, but just not sure now. Balls can fly out of Wrigley... thoughts?
You also have to take into consideration in 2 games vs the Cubs already this season, Locke has pitched 8.2 innings, given up 15 hits, 10 runs (9 earned), 6 walks, and 12 strikeouts. Hendricks has 2 games vs the Pirates this season spanning 10.1 innings, giving up 10 hits, 5 runs (all earned), walking 3, and getting 10 strikeouts.
Pretty good ratio in favor of Hendricks over Locke, but neither pitcher does very well against the opposing teams.
Combined 20 innings, you're talking 25 hits, 15 runs (14 earned), 9 walks, and 22 strikeouts. This gives an average of .75 runs per inning = 9 x .75 = 7.75 runs total. With the 11 mph wind from the back to center field, that's where they are basically adding an extra pair of runs.
Tough call.
IMO, take the Cubs, Hendricks simply pitches better vs the Pirates than Locke pitches vs the Cubs. The Cubs also have home field advantage and didn't have to travel yesterday. The only thing really in favor for the Pirates today is they have a bullpen ERA of 2.88 compared to the Cubs 4.14 ERA.
Still, I'm taking Cubs and parlaying them with the D-Backs.
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You also have to take into consideration in 2 games vs the Cubs already this season, Locke has pitched 8.2 innings, given up 15 hits, 10 runs (9 earned), 6 walks, and 12 strikeouts. Hendricks has 2 games vs the Pirates this season spanning 10.1 innings, giving up 10 hits, 5 runs (all earned), walking 3, and getting 10 strikeouts.
Pretty good ratio in favor of Hendricks over Locke, but neither pitcher does very well against the opposing teams.
Combined 20 innings, you're talking 25 hits, 15 runs (14 earned), 9 walks, and 22 strikeouts. This gives an average of .75 runs per inning = 9 x .75 = 7.75 runs total. With the 11 mph wind from the back to center field, that's where they are basically adding an extra pair of runs.
Tough call.
IMO, take the Cubs, Hendricks simply pitches better vs the Pirates than Locke pitches vs the Cubs. The Cubs also have home field advantage and didn't have to travel yesterday. The only thing really in favor for the Pirates today is they have a bullpen ERA of 2.88 compared to the Cubs 4.14 ERA.
Still, I'm taking Cubs and parlaying them with the D-Backs.
anyone ever notice that Cubs home games always get a total later on the other overnight lines? It's because of the weather, more importantly the wind. If it was gushing out we would see 11+ runs. I see 5.5 in 1st 5 I like unders if the wind changes closer to gametime. Then you will be getting a hell of a line. Wait to live bet to get under in the first. 4.5. Will evaluate closer to game
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anyone ever notice that Cubs home games always get a total later on the other overnight lines? It's because of the weather, more importantly the wind. If it was gushing out we would see 11+ runs. I see 5.5 in 1st 5 I like unders if the wind changes closer to gametime. Then you will be getting a hell of a line. Wait to live bet to get under in the first. 4.5. Will evaluate closer to game
anyone ever notice that Cubs home games always get a total later on the other overnight lines? It's because of the weather, more importantly the wind. If it was gushing out we would see 11+ runs. I see 5.5 in 1st 5 I like unders if the wind changes closer to gametime. Then you will be getting a hell of a line. Wait to live bet to get under in the first. 4.5. Will evaluate closer to game
Nice that is actually a smart observation!
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Quote Originally Posted by gtmoney76:
anyone ever notice that Cubs home games always get a total later on the other overnight lines? It's because of the weather, more importantly the wind. If it was gushing out we would see 11+ runs. I see 5.5 in 1st 5 I like unders if the wind changes closer to gametime. Then you will be getting a hell of a line. Wait to live bet to get under in the first. 4.5. Will evaluate closer to game
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