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Aarons499 @Talladega

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Views: 224
Posts: 6
 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2006
Posts: 1199
Posted: #1

Aarons 499 (@Talladega)


23-11 +14.38 units (Match-Ups)
10-10 + 1.86 units (Props/FP)
03-03 + 6.14 units (Race Winners)

Total: +22.38 units

Making too many plays on a crapshoot race but........here goes

MATCH-UPS (all plays 1.5 units)

David Ragan (-135) over Kasey Kahne (@5dimes)
Ragan is an underrated plate racer who should've won at Daytona

Clint Bowyer (-110) over Jimmie Johnson (@thegreek)
Another good plate track guy, who won last time here

Joey Logano (+100) over Matt Kenseth (@beted)
Logano 5th, 3rd and 9th in 3 of last 4 at Talladega, Kenseth has a 25.3 avg. last 6 here. So if Joey can stay out of trouble.......

Paul Menard (-125) over David Reutimann (@beted)
Menard having his best year ever and has 4 Top 13 finishes the last 7 plate races (9th at Daytona in February)

Juan Montoya (+105) over Jeff Burton (@thegreek)
Back to back 3rd place finishes last year at 'Dega...6th at Daytona this year

Jamie MacMurray (+105) over Carl Edwards (@5dimes)
Jamie has a couple of plate wins and a 2nd over the past 2 years

Jeff Gordon (-130) over Denny Hamlin (@5dimes)
Hamlin not strong on plates when hes having a good year and so far this is not a good year

MATCH-UPS/FP (all plays 1.5 units)

David Ragan (+120) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Just got a feeling about the 6 today

Joey Logano (+190) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Top 10 in 3 of last 4 here

Paul Menard (+160) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Another that could be near the front if the chips fall right

Clint Bowyer (-115) Top 10 (@5dimes)
If he stays out of trouble this should be easy (famous last words)

Jamie MacMurray (+100)Top 10 (@5dimes)
If he finishes he will probably be Top 5

Juan Montoya (+135) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Scary playing JPM with his temper but if he keeps his cool he should be OK

RACE WINNERS

0.66 unit Kevin Harvick (+850) @thegreek
0.33 unit Clint Bowyer (+1500) @ thegreek
0.25 unit David Ragan (+2400) @thegeek
0.25 unit Paul Menard (+3000) @beted
0.15 unit Joey Logano (+3500) @beted

Good luck to everyone!


23-11 +14.38 units (Match-Ups)
10-10 + 1.86 units (Props/FP)
03-03 + 6.14 units (Race Winners)

Total: +22.38 units

Making too many plays on a crapshoot race but........here goes

MATCH-UPS (all plays 1.5 units)

David Ragan (-135) over Kasey Kahne (@5dimes)
Ragan is an underrated plate racer who should've won at Daytona

Clint Bowyer (-110) over Jimmie Johnson (@thegreek)
Another good plate track guy, who won last time here

Joey Logano (+100) over Matt Kenseth (@beted)
Logano 5th, 3rd and 9th in 3 of last 4 at Talladega, Kenseth has a 25.3 avg. last 6 here. So if Joey can stay out of trouble.......

Paul Menard (-125) over David Reutimann (@beted)
Menard having his best year ever and has 4 Top 13 finishes the last 7 plate races (9th at Daytona in February)

Juan Montoya (+105) over Jeff Burton (@thegreek)
Back to back 3rd place finishes last year at 'Dega...6th at Daytona this year

Jamie MacMurray (+105) over Carl Edwards (@5dimes)
Jamie has a couple of plate wins and a 2nd over the past 2 years

Jeff Gordon (-130) over Denny Hamlin (@5dimes)
Hamlin not strong on plates when hes having a good year and so far this is not a good year

MATCH-UPS/FP (all plays 1.5 units)

David Ragan (+120) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Just got a feeling about the 6 today

Joey Logano (+190) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Top 10 in 3 of last 4 here

Paul Menard (+160) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Another that could be near the front if the chips fall right

Clint Bowyer (-115) Top 10 (@5dimes)
If he stays out of trouble this should be easy (famous last words)

Jamie MacMurray (+100)Top 10 (@5dimes)
If he finishes he will probably be Top 5

Juan Montoya (+135) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Scary playing JPM with his temper but if he keeps his cool he should be OK

RACE WINNERS

0.66 unit Kevin Harvick (+850) @thegreek
0.33 unit Clint Bowyer (+1500) @ thegreek
0.25 unit David Ragan (+2400) @thegeek
0.25 unit Paul Menard (+3000) @beted
0.15 unit Joey Logano (+3500) @beted

Good luck to everyone!

 
Legend
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Joined: Aug, 2001
Posts: 34488
Posted: #2
GL my friend
 
Captain
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Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 8503
Posted: #3

think i gotta add logo toop 10 at tht price

GL

 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2006
Posts: 1199
Posted: #4
thanks clepto..need all the luck I can get to come away from here on the p[lus side......hope its a profitable day for you
 
Captain
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Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 6778
Posted: #5
gl buddy,
 
 
Veteran
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Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 1099
Posted: #6
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