Air Guard 400 @ Richmond

CUP YTD

-22 Units

Having a nice run on match-ups plays...try to keep the positive vibe going

MATCH-UPS

1.5 units Carl Edwards (-125) over Jimmie Johnson (@thegreek)
Don't look now but the 99 is getting hot at the right time ( 5 Top 5's L7/5.0 avg) and he is fast again this weekend

1.5 units Ryan Newman (-120) over Jamie McMurray (@thegreek)
1.5 units Ryan Newman (-120) over Kasey Kahne (@5dimes)
One of Newman's better tracks (career stats of 5 Top 5's/11 Top 10's/11.4 avg in 17 starts) vs. two guys who have struggled at this place lately (18 combined races since 2006 these 2 have a total of 1 Top 5/4 Top 10's- Kahne's avg is 19.5/McMurray avg is 26.7) although I admit McMurray is a different driver with this team, having a great year.

1.5 units Joey Logano (-105) over AJ Allmendinger (@5dimes)
Logano has finishes of 19,14 and 16th here and as well as he's adapting with each trip back to a track and with Gibbs success here he may be Top 10 tonight.

1.5 units Mark Martin (-130) over Martin Truex (@5dimes)
Martin had problems in the spring here but has been too good here for too long to ignore him in this spot (4 straight Top 5's before finishing 25th last time out/27 Top 10's in 49 career starts)

1.5 units Paul Menard (-115) over Brad Keselowski (@thegreek)
Made this play strictly on the 98's performance in qualifying and Happy Hour practice. Menard has a bullet but the question is can he hang onto it

PROPS/FP

1.00 Unit Kevin Harvick (-115) to finish better than 7.5 (@sportsbook.com)
Harvick has nothing to race for but the win tonight...very good history here

OUTRIGHTS

0.70 unit Carl Edwards (+1000) @sportsbook.com
0.50 unit Kevin Harvick (+1000) @thegreek
0.50 unit Clint Bowyer (+1100) @thegreek
0.15 unit Ryan Newman (+4000) @thegreek
0.15 unit Mark Martin (+5000) @sportsbook.com

Good luck to everyone!