Posted:
#1
Bristol is one of my favorite races of the year. I try to make it to the Bristol Night race every summer and this year should be no different. When it comes to the high bank half mile of Bristol Motor speedway it's a racer's racetrack where certain driver's excel. I went ahead and took my chances on openers this week.
Last year most of the favorites odds either stayed the same or got better before the race other than Keselowski, who closed at +350 as the race favorite. I had to jump on Busch this week early because of that, this race last year he posted 1st, 3rd, and 5th in practices sessions.
Qualifying Matchup
Risk 3.25 units to win 2.5
Hamlin -130 over JR
Race Winner Plays
2 units - Kenseth +875
Led in all four races since joining JGR totaling 461 laps led, Avg Driver Rating of 117 during those four races
2 units - Ku Busch +775
Tied for most wins here at 5, if he can keep his car in one piece he typically runs really well here. He knows he needs a win and this may be one of his best shots. Not liking his odds at all here (opened +2500 and +1500 last year!) but he can wheel a car around here to put up decent practice/qualifying time keeping his odds lower than they should be.
.5 units - Kahne +2350
One of the better drivers on the current track configuration, other than a crash he would have 5 straight top 10 finishes, 1 win, 2nd, and over 200 laps led.
.5 units - McMurray +5500
Picked up Kahne's old crew chief starting in 2014 and led 145 laps in the fall race last year. I'm thinking he kept his setup notes.. His driver rating shot from 78 to over 100 at Bristol last year.
.3 units - Edwards +1250
Concrete Carl - His success combined with Gibbs at this track will be to hard to ignore. I wouldn't be surprised to see him get his 1st win for JGR here.
More to come closer to race time, waiting on H2H's until after practice sessions.
Let's Go Short Track Racing - Good Luck! 
Last year most of the favorites odds either stayed the same or got better before the race other than Keselowski, who closed at +350 as the race favorite. I had to jump on Busch this week early because of that, this race last year he posted 1st, 3rd, and 5th in practices sessions.
Qualifying Matchup Risk 3.25 units to win 2.5
Hamlin -130 over JR
Race Winner Plays 2 units - Kenseth +875
Led in all four races since joining JGR totaling 461 laps led, Avg Driver Rating of 117 during those four races
2 units - Ku Busch +775
Tied for most wins here at 5, if he can keep his car in one piece he typically runs really well here. He knows he needs a win and this may be one of his best shots. Not liking his odds at all here (opened +2500 and +1500 last year!) but he can wheel a car around here to put up decent practice/qualifying time keeping his odds lower than they should be.
.5 units - Kahne +2350
One of the better drivers on the current track configuration, other than a crash he would have 5 straight top 10 finishes, 1 win, 2nd, and over 200 laps led.
.5 units - McMurray +5500
Picked up Kahne's old crew chief starting in 2014 and led 145 laps in the fall race last year. I'm thinking he kept his setup notes.. His driver rating shot from 78 to over 100 at Bristol last year.
.3 units - Edwards +1250
Concrete Carl - His success combined with Gibbs at this track will be to hard to ignore. I wouldn't be surprised to see him get his 1st win for JGR here.
More to come closer to race time, waiting on H2H's until after practice sessions.
Let's Go Short Track Racing - Good Luck! 0
I thought all the open odds were terrible except Gordon and Carl at 13-1
(+2.5 units)
Ya boys that's a tough way to lose a matchup. Dillon had all kinds of issues and Hamlin still couldn't beat him. Not really his fault but damn he has been unimpressive in the #54 this year compared to what Kyle Busch has been able to do in that car in the past..
Looks like we will have a hard time getting the race in today, even if they do it will most likely be shortened by rain throwing any capping strategy out the window on this one 
Great call Nascar, got a whole 20 laps in and took out two of the race favorites! Not that I'm complaining about that 
.. I wouldn't be surprised to see Nascar bend the rules for their golden team and let them race their backup cars. 
Race WINNER - Kenseth +875 (2 units)
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