Posted:
#1
CUP YTD
77-73 - 6.12 units (Match-Ups)
34-30 +6.32 units (Props)
09-65 - 1.22 units (Outrights)
Total: -1.02 units
Its been a absolutely pathetic dispaly the past two races on the Cup side. I've gone from being a decent NASCAR capper to the best fade material on the net. Thought about hanging it up for this year after last week but decided that as long as my NWS plays are showing a profit (done very with those lately) I will try to ride it out.
Match-ups (all plays for 1 unit)
Denny Hamlin (-120) over Kyle Busch (thegreek)
This is Denny's biggest race of the year, he rather win at his home track than anywhere on the circuit. Has been dominate here in the past but screwy luck has put him down.
I know Kyle has to race his way in and he won here in the spring but I'm riding with the 11.
Ryan Newman (-125) over David Reutimann (@5dimes)
One of Newman's favorite tracks and past results show it (9 Top 10's in 15 starts). Ran 4th in the spring and has not finished worse than 7th on a short track this year.
Marcos Ambrose (-150) over David Ragan (@sportsbook.com)
Love the match-up, hate the line. Gonna play it anyway. Ambrose is strong on short tracks. 3rd and 10th at Bristol, 14th at Martinsville and 11th here in May.
Dale Jr. (+115) over Carl Edwards (@thegreek)
Really like the improvement with this team since Lance McGrew took over as crew chief. Jr has always done well on short tracks and a Top 10 or better is a good possibility . Not crazy about Edwards in this race.
Tony Stewart (+125) over Jimmie Johnson (@5dimes)
I realize JJ has won 3 of 5 here but Smoke is no slouch and has been more consistent. Has 3 wins himself and 4 second place finishes(including 3 of last 4) in 21 starts at RIR.
Props
Ryan Newman (+300) to win group (@thegreek)
over Biffle/Dale Jr/Reutimann/Kenseth
Expecting a solid Top 10 from Newman, the only one I'm really concerned about here is the 88.
Outrights
0.50 unit Denny Hamlin (+625) @5dimes
0.50 unit Mark Martin (+625) @5dimes
0.25 unit Tony Stewart (+1200) @sportsbook.com
0.10 unit Ryan Newman (+3000) @thegreek
0.05 unit Marcos Ambrose (+20000) @sportsbook.com
Good luck to everyone!
77-73 - 6.12 units (Match-Ups)
34-30 +6.32 units (Props)
09-65 - 1.22 units (Outrights)
Total: -1.02 units
Its been a absolutely pathetic dispaly the past two races on the Cup side. I've gone from being a decent NASCAR capper to the best fade material on the net. Thought about hanging it up for this year after last week but decided that as long as my NWS plays are showing a profit (done very with those lately) I will try to ride it out.
Match-ups (all plays for 1 unit)
Denny Hamlin (-120) over Kyle Busch (thegreek)
This is Denny's biggest race of the year, he rather win at his home track than anywhere on the circuit. Has been dominate here in the past but screwy luck has put him down.
I know Kyle has to race his way in and he won here in the spring but I'm riding with the 11.
Ryan Newman (-125) over David Reutimann (@5dimes)
One of Newman's favorite tracks and past results show it (9 Top 10's in 15 starts). Ran 4th in the spring and has not finished worse than 7th on a short track this year.
Marcos Ambrose (-150) over David Ragan (@sportsbook.com)
Love the match-up, hate the line. Gonna play it anyway. Ambrose is strong on short tracks. 3rd and 10th at Bristol, 14th at Martinsville and 11th here in May.
Dale Jr. (+115) over Carl Edwards (@thegreek)
Really like the improvement with this team since Lance McGrew took over as crew chief. Jr has always done well on short tracks and a Top 10 or better is a good possibility . Not crazy about Edwards in this race.
Tony Stewart (+125) over Jimmie Johnson (@5dimes)
I realize JJ has won 3 of 5 here but Smoke is no slouch and has been more consistent. Has 3 wins himself and 4 second place finishes(including 3 of last 4) in 21 starts at RIR.
Props
Ryan Newman (+300) to win group (@thegreek)
over Biffle/Dale Jr/Reutimann/Kenseth
Expecting a solid Top 10 from Newman, the only one I'm really concerned about here is the 88.
Outrights
0.50 unit Denny Hamlin (+625) @5dimes
0.50 unit Mark Martin (+625) @5dimes
0.25 unit Tony Stewart (+1200) @sportsbook.com
0.10 unit Ryan Newman (+3000) @thegreek
0.05 unit Marcos Ambrose (+20000) @sportsbook.com
Good luck to everyone!
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