CUP YTD
10-8 +3.60 units (Match-Ups)
5 -8 -2.18 units (Props)
1 -3 +0.52 units (Outrights)
Total: +1.94 units
Hope to build off a good week last week. Weather may be a problem today but hoping for the best.
All lines from 5dimes/sportsbook.com
MATCH-UPS
1.50 units Jimmie Johnson (-120) over Kyle Busch
JJ has been Top 3 in 8 of last 9 here and after the events of this past week these guys should be ready to go
1.50 units Kevin Harvick (-140) over Greg Biffle
Heavy price but I've got Harvick pegged around 2nd or 3rd, was stout in practice and quals, won last time out here and Top 10 in 6 of last 7 including 4 straight.
Biffle maybe Top 10 but like Harvick as one of the favorites today.
1.50 units Clint Bowyer (-110) over Mark Martin
Think Bowyer is the best of the MWR teams and could be Top 5
1.50 units Ryan Newman (-130) over Dale Jr
Back to back 5th place finishes here for Newman here, Jr hasn't ran Top 10 in last 7 starts
1.50 units Martin Truex (+110) over Joey Logano
Just riding the MWR train on this one
PROPS
1.00 unit Jimmie Johnson (+205) Top 3
No reason to think that he can't make it 9 out of 10 Top 3's
1.00 unit Matt Kenseth (+180) Top 5
3 time winner here
1.00 unit Kevin Harvick (+160) Top 5
Won last time at Auto Club
1.00 unit Clint Bowyer (+180) Top 10
Should be better than this, 7 Top 10's in 11 starts at RCR and MWR has a strong car for him as well
OUTRIGHTS
1.00 unit Jimmie Johnson (+500)
0.80 unit Denny Hamlin (+600)
This one I have questions about, by far the best car in quals and every practice but not sure if he can pull out a win. Wish I felt better about the driver, then I would load up on him
0.50 unit Kevin Harvick (+1050)
0.50 unit Matt Kenseth (+1000)
0.20 unit Ryan Newman (+3000)
0.20 unit Clint Bowyer (+3300)
Good luck!