Goodys 500 @ Martinsville

CUP YTD

19-10 +9.58 units (Match-Ups)
07-09 - 1.32 units (Props/FP)
02-03 +1.89 units (Race Winners)

Total: +10.15 units

Looks like a crapshoot today with the wildcard being tires, looking at experience with guys who know how to take care of equipment

MATCH-UPS

1.5 units Dale Jr. (+105) over Kurt Busch (@5dimes)
Really like Jr. on short tracks over this Penske team that has struggled for the 2nd straight week

1.5 units Jeff Gordon (+115) over Kyle Busch (@5dimes)
Gordon will definitely not overdrive the car today and that will be key...both of these guys should be Top 5-7 but Gordon is as smooth here as anyone

1.5 units Clint Bowyer (-125) over Kasey Kahne (@5dimes)
Playing this one by feel...Bowyer needs to get it going and soon

1.5 units David Reutimann (+115) over Martin Truex (@5dimes)
Truex having trouble with set-up, putting a new package in this morning...while the 00 starts 8th and was 4th in final practice

1.5 units Mark Martin (-125) over Carl Edwards (@thegreek)
All the Hendrick teams have performed better than Roush so far this weekend (with the exception of Ragan) and Mark has a knack for this place while Carl will admit hes had his problems here

OUTRIGHTS/FP

1.5 units Denny Hamlin (-115) under 3.5 (@5dimes)
No one has a handle on this place better than Hamlin with 3 straight wins and a 2nd in 4 starts

1.5 units Kevin Harvick (-125) under 6.5 (@5dimes)
I can see a Top 5 being probable

1.5 units Dale Jr (-125) under 14.5 (@5dimes)
Beat this number 4 of last 6 at Martinsville

1.0 unit Jeff Gordon (+190) Top 5 (@5dimes)
Think Gordon has a shot at the win

RACE WINNER


Not going with the big favorites but 3 with a shot at better odds:

0.50 unit Jeff Gordon (+1500) @thegreek
0.50 unit Kevin Harvick (+1050) @5dimes
0.50 unit Jamie MacMurray (+1100) @thegreek

Good luck!